Threat to Slavic and Kramatorsk: how real is Russia's capture of Donbass cities

There are real problems on the Donbass Front, but there are far -fetched, said serviceman Cyril Sazonov. To the latter, he attributes the threat of agglomeration of Slavyansk-Kramatorsk-Druzhkivka-Konstantinovka, and that is why . . . everything, we will lose Donetsk region in a month and a half. Get rid of. Don't believe? I did not say it, Mariana Bezlagla said that by January 20 we would lose Donetsk region. And she is not some younger sergeant Sazonov, but a whole MP.

And here the head of the Military Administration Slavyansk Vadim Liah forbade all educational and cultural events, in reality, not online, in the city. I immediately write - prepares the city for street fighting? Well, if someone does not have enough words of the whole people's deputy, and my opinion is interesting - I will write. No, the head of Va Slavyansk does not prepare the city for street fighting. To possible arrivals - yes.

And when preparing for street battles, we can only talk about evacuation of civilians and in no other way. But if people gather on a concert and fly a room or a rocket there - they ask it. And rockets in Slavic and Kramatorsk have long arrived. And the craft time is minutes. So zero sensations, local people know all this well and know for a long time. As for the bold statement of Mrs. Bezubgly . . . I will not agree that we have now in the Donetsk region.

There is a very difficult situation in the Kurakhiv direction. Not critical as two weeks ago. But heavy. The enemy throws a maximum there, tries to go around the flanks. Where it is not possible, expands the flanks. It constantly needs new and new resources, for terrible losses. In this situation, even completely compensate for the losses in Pokrovsky. And this is now the hardest direction. And the occupier still has Kupyansk. There is Kursk region. Where also tasks, timing and terrible losses are set.

In these circumstances, seriously threatening the agglomeration of Slavyansk-Kramatorsk-Druzhkivka-Konstantinovka will simply not be enough resources. For understanding - for the assault of Avdiivka, the enemy concentrated on that site more than 100 thousand personnel. How much time took? And they have not yet recovered after crazy losses in those storms. Konstantinovka is much larger. And the occupiers there are no 100 thousand and that amount of equipment. And it won't.

Namely Konstantinovka from the south begins this agglomeration. But Konstantinovka still needs to be reached. Through Toretsk or the time of the ravine. Where did they get stuck? In the little Toretsk and the time. Therefore, reaching the Constant is a controversial and difficult task. Storm? It's long. Forever. It is not necessary to speak about Druzhkivka, Kramatorsk and Slivansk in this direction. The only threat to the offensive on Slavyansk is from the north. From the side of the Liman.

This direction is generally key to the whole group of troops that hold this part of the Donetsk region. That's just about this threat has long been well known in the General Staff and "Khortytsia". Therefore, for all efforts and harsh storms in the estuary direction, the enemy has no tactical concessions in the last six months. And I hope not. We can lose, such a risk. The agglomeration "Konstantinovka-Druzhkivka-Kramatorsk-Slavic"-now no. There are no prerequisites for this.

For the worst scenario in the winter, the enemy will come to Konstantinovka. Where it is, I will open a military secret, long and specifically awaits. So I would take advantage of advising everyone to calm down. And in this particular case, not to listen to the whole MP, but to trust the military. Even with much less significant in the registry about ranks. Mol. Sergeant Sazonov finished the report. The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position.