Four scenarios: how will the Air War of the Russian Federation against Ukraine develop

The worst scenario for Ukraine would be to exhaust missiles for air defense for air defense and conquer air domination occupiers. However, analysts have identified other options for defense forces. For more than a year the full -scale war of the Russian Federation against Ukraine has been going on and since the fall the invaders have regularly inflicted missile and unmanned blows around the country. In the Kiev Security Forum, 4 scenarios of air threats were identified for Ukraine.

The military-strategic inspection "Air Threats for Ukraine" refers to 4 main threats to Ukraine. The Russian army uses at least 600 aircraft of 39 airfields. They also have a large reserve of prepared pilots. Front aviation is massively used by corrected aircraft, in addition, shot-kamkadze shahd is struck. It is noted that the Russian Federation probably has been able to increase the production of long -range missiles in comparison with 2021. The first scenario is the worst for Ukraine.

He assumes that the Russian Federation will be able to win air domination and will be able to destroy the Ukrainian air defense system or the missiles will end with it. This scenario can be implemented by the Russian Federation if the Russian Federation receives large batches of long -range weapons from Iran or China. The second scenario is a slightly optimistic version of the worst.

He envisages that the Ukrainian army will not be able to organize air protection, as well as support the troops during offensive actions. The example is that the PCS of the Russian Federation strikes from April to May to deplete air defense before a counter-offensive. Aircraft and SPR plays an important role in the offensive actions. The planes should be beaten by the enemy's rear and cover from Russian rockets and aviation.

In particular, the Russian Federation uses KA-52 to counteract the Ukrainian military. Keeping the current situation is the third scenario. Analysts believe that the situation that is now can remain. The Russian Federation will have an advantage in the amount and quality of the means of defeat, and Ukraine will retain limited opposition. The third variant of analysts consider realistic if the event continues to supply Ukraine with means of and air defense in the amount of as it is now.

The last scenario is more optimistic than all previous ones. Defense forces will increase opportunities in the air. This requires: so analysts make several conclusions. Among them is an increase in the supply of weapons to Ukraine, to produce their own weapons, as well as to get fighter jets by F-16. We will remind, on July 20 in the air forces told details of the night attack on Odessa and Nikolaev.