Ukraine lives "on series": ISW analyzed Putin's statements about "true enemies" of the Russian Federation
This is stated in the report of the American Institute of War Study (ISW) of January 2. In particular, the Russian president said that the enemy for the Russian Federation is not Ukraine, but a West, which seems to want to destroy "Russian statehood" and defeat Russia in the war. Analysts say that according to Vladimir Putin, Russia wants to break Russia into five parts. However, he believes that the Russian Federation "cope with the West faster.
" He also stated that Ukraine seems to be destroyed and only "on the feeds". ISW says Putin sees conflict and possible negotiations between the Russian Federation and the West, not with Ukraine. Also, according to the Russian President, he does not mind to end the conflict with the West, but only on the conditions of Moscow and will not have positions. Putin deliberately distorts the true reasons why he began the war in Ukraine, and depicts it as a confrontation between the West.
Analysts believe that the emphasis on changing narratives may indicate that any fluctuations in the help of Ukraine and its defeat on the battlefield will be perceived as a victory of Russia. It is noted that the President of the Russian Federation probably specifically exposes Ukraine in this war and masks its goals in establishing full control over it. Putin's statements made on January 1 probably mean that he intends to negotiate only with the West and only about his rejection of Ukraine.
The Institute of War Study believes that the President of the Russian Federation still adhered to this line. In particular, in December 2021, he made the demands of the United States and NATO to recognize the sphere of influence of Russia in Eastern Europe, by abandoning the basic elements of Ukraine's sovereignty in the name of the de -escalation of conflict with the West.
Actually, the decision of the event to negotiate the future of Ukraine in its bypass will mean that it can impose its will to other countries, including Finland and Moldova. Analysts also write that the Russian Federation can expand its military goals, including confrontation between the West, to increase the army of the Russian Federation and to justify great casualties in the war.
Vladimir Putin is probably preparing a long -term justification to keep the forces mobilized and continue the war for the protection of Ukraine. Recall that recently the President of the Russian Federation stated that the enemy for Russia is an event that seems to use Ukraine for war. According to him, "Ukraine itself is not an enemy. " Meanwhile, Putin was plowed in Lithuania because of a New Year's greetings, in which Putin stated that Russia would never be retreating.