Russia's offensive exhausted itself by 70%. In Kharkiv region
Neither one nor the other happened. A few weeks after start On May 9, about 30 thousand Russian soldiers stuck in the city of Vovchansk, just a few miles south of the border,-writes forbes in Kharkiv. In May, the situation in the border of Kharkiv region has changed several times after the offensive. It was also important to stop the offensive. After that, the attacks on Kharkiv was reduced, although the C-300 multi-year missile campaign came no less regular blows to managed airbags.
So the fighting is currently on the border, although, in recent days, the pressure of the Russian army has decreased. The hottest in Vovchansk. "This city is which the enemy erases from the face of the earth very quickly and persistently. Vovchansk was not lucky, he is just too close to the border with the sustained, they decided to make a buffer zone there," says serviceman Alexander.
In Vovchansk, the situation is changing every hour, so it is impossible to give accurate information in the combat situation. This is how the Focus's question is the military expert Petro Chernik. In particular, he does not comment on the fact that Russian soldiers remain in the territory of the aggregate plant in the central part of the city.
Meanwhile, in the construction of the American Institute for War Study (ISW), on June 26, it was reported that the Armed Forces of Ukraine had recently been restored some more lost positions in Volchansk. Geolovanized personnel, published on June 25, show that Ukrainian troops advanced along Soborna Street in the city center. And Russian soldiers at the factory can either be captured, or to suffer heavy losses.
In general, the fighting lasts northeast of Kharkiv- not only near Vovchansk, but also quiet, as well as north of the city- near Lipts and Deep. Petro Chernik explains: "First, the bridgehead, albeit a small, formed. This is a partial success for them. Secondly, a large offensive that stopped in Kharkiv a few weeks ago-significantly decreased. They began to dig this little bridgehead.
" The enemy pulled out Ukrainian troops from the south and from the east, capable brigades, so it was possible to stop the offensive. The Russian Federation has new and new forces to Kharkiv region. According to the spokesman of the Kharkiv group of Ukrainian troops Colonel Yuri Powkh, the Russians plan to use the "9th Rifle Brigade of the 51st Army".
In addition, the spokesman of the Ukrainian Khortytsia troops, Lieutenant Colonel Nazar Voloshina, noted that Russian troops intend to transfer to the Kharkiv direction of part of the 155th Marine infantry brigade belonging to the Pacific Fleet in order to compensate for significant Russian losses. And the losses of the Russians are really great.
Experts point out that it is impossible to replenish them quickly-even the redeployment of the 155th Marine Corps, does not pose a special threat, since this brigade at one time suffered heavy losses under the coledar, and the prepared soldiers in its composition are less-most newly mobilized.
"It is very unlikely that the Russians will be able to accumulate the breakthrough potential of at least one mechanized brigade, which should break battalion tactical order: 3 kilometers in width and 5 kilometers at depth. So far, except for the already formed bridgehead, they have no progress - Note Chernyk. In May we destroy 39 thousand, in June there will be 34-35 thousand.
According to Chernyk, since October 7, 2023, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, after which a new offensive of Russia began, which has not ended to this day. And Kharkiv region is one of the directions. "This offensive has exhausted itself by 70%. The army of the Russian Federation is still in a state of the attacking side, but we have seriously improved artillery.
In two shells, and this is a lot of help, to store dry weather we could reflect the Kharkiv bridgehead. He works, ”the expert adds. But the situation is complicated by the shelling of managed aircraft (CA), although they are not flying as far as ballistics or winged rockets, but the destructive effect has no less. It is impossible to knock them down, it is necessary to eliminate the carrier - planes of the series SU.
And they can be knocked down, in particular, by F16 aircraft, or by struck by airfields, which requires permits for the use of ATACMS. Fireting the border of the C300 decreased. As already mentioned, due to the permits received by the Russian Federation with Western weapons. "But the Russians are now redovering the systems. They used to come to the border earlier-at a distance of 50-70 kilometers and launched rockets. They are high-speed, 9000 km per hour.
150 kilometers overcomes less than one minute. That is, they were practically impossible. how to act from a more distant distance, "the expert explains. However, Russian troops still have the potential for a new breakthrough and potential areas for this purpose. And this is indicated by several signs. And not only that the enemy was regrouping in the Belgorod region, and relocated some units to reinforce. Experts say that the Ukrainian army is still lacking weapons, in particular, long -range.
"We are lacking weapons. We have personnel relatively adequately. We need as much long -range weapons as possible. And this is the main reason for delaying this war. We would give us 600 ATACMS, F16 would already work. times, but the "second army of the world" for the third year can not break Ukraine. Another military expert - Ivan Stupak says that it is difficult to predict the actions of the Russian army in the Kharkiv area.
In fact, there is a decrease in pressure, but whether they go on the offensive again - depends not only on the situation on the front, but also at the tables. "Can Kharkiv outskirts? Can the third direction in the Kharkiv region? Can. Can parts To Kharkiv, trim our connection with Kupyansk. Obviously, the offensive in the Kharkiv region is also the efforts of the Kremlin to receive political dividends. "Even for their super propaganda car is a very preschool slap. They needed to change the accents.
They would raise tricolor above at least one village in Kharkiv region, they would be submitted almost as a Berlin operation," Chernik said. "If they really managed to get out at the turn of Kharkiv - let us not forget that Kharkiv, despite the strikes from the sky, remains a large military hub for the Ukrainian army. There are both radio -electronic stations, EWS systems and armored vehicles, as well as rockets of different classes. All this -Missing for the Russians.