Syrian announced a counter -offensive: whether the Armed Forces have forces for a new attack and where it can happen
"We have to take the initiative and counter -attack. We must and we will. Where and who - you will see," said the Armed Forces Commissar. Focus interviewed military experts were shared in views of a possible counter -offensive. The Armed Forces Stock Major and military analyst Alexei Hetman told Focus that Syrsky's statement could be a "fog of war" to frighten the enemy.
"Sometimes it makes sense to do so when you plan the offensive actions - do not say that you plan them, an example - the Kharkiv operation. And when you do not plan the offensive actions - you can say that you are planning," - said Hetman. He noted that theoretically the counter-offensive can happen at any time. So combat orders are passed at the last moment, in order to be unexpected, in particular, as it was in the Kursk operation.
"I am sure that the plans are ready, if Syrsky says that is actually true, not the" fog of war ", then any unit can receive the so-called combat order, where his actions are prescribed for the next few hours-where to go , what to do, who are neighbors, what are the goals, etc. ", - the expert said.
Hetman stressed that during the preparatory work for the counter -offensive it is prescribed how aviation, air defense, communications, logistics, security service, medical service, information component of the war should work. The SBU Expressant and Military Expert Ivan Stupak raises the great doubt of Ukraine's ability to counter -offensive, in particular due to the lack of power and assistance in the United States.
In his opinion, the statement of Syrsky can be designed for the Russians to stretch their forces and be in tension through a hypothetical Ukrainian offensive. "On the other hand, the Russians also perfectly understand our strengths, the capabilities where we are wearing," he said. According to Stupak, the Armed Forces can go on a counter -offensive when Ukraine will receive more assistance from the United States.
Military analyst Pavel Narozhny said that a counter -offensive can only take place in the area where the enemy had recently entered the offensive, occupied a certain territory, but did not establish. "We reflect these territories, and this is a counter -offensive. If the enemy occupied some territories a few months ago, built some fortifications, and we go to it - it is called the offensive," the focus of the focus explained in a conversation with the focus.
According to him, now the counter -offensive can only take place in the Donetsk region - near Pokrovsk or in Kurakhiv direction, that is, the territory over which the forces of defense relatively have recently lost control. The people are not sure about the possibilities of the Armed Forces for counter -offensive. After all, you need to find a certain number of capable units-at least 3-4 brigades, about 20 thousand people.
Moreover, this is not about the crews that are now on the front and are exhausted. While the units are required after rotation, recovery. In addition, the counter -offensive requires a large number of ammunition, armored vehicles, special vehicles. Also important is the work of aviation, which was widely used during the onset in the Kursk direction.
We will remind, on October 8 the head of the Center for Military Legal Research Alexander Musienko informed that the Armed Forces will be able to hold a new counter-offensive in 2025. In particular, you need to get enough Western weapons and equipment. On October 14, ATO veteran Yevgeny Dyky noted that Ukrainian fighters will be able to run the offensive and win in the war if the issue of mobilization is ordered.