Russia is an event 6: 1. Why in the Russian Federation the ability to fight is much higher than that of Ukraine's partners
In short, it is pointless to mechanically compare the GDP of two opposing parties, Russia and the West. It is extremely important to consider the involvement factor of one or the other in the war. And also - price ratio (prices for ammunition in different countries differ). My resource advantage formula is determined by the following formula: GDP X attraction × Price coefficient = war resource.
On the one hand, Western GDP is much larger than Russian: 50 trillion dollars against 2 trillion, or 25: 1. But on the other hand, prices for the main types of ammunition and equipment in the Russian Federation are 5 to 10 times lower, especially for shells. That is, according to the above formula, without taking into account the ratio of involvement, already 10 trillion versus 2, or 5: 1. We go further and approach the involvement factor.
The Russian Federation can spend 6% of GDP for war, or $ 120 billion a year. If the Western countries responded with the same level of involvement, their military budget would be a fantastic amount of three trillions of dollars. For this money you can build a "star of death", and not one. Even this would be the general military budget of the Western countries, not the cost of war. But the Western countries did not even approach 6% of GDP to the defense sector.
Not to mention the help of Ukraine, which was maximum…. 0. 2% in the first year of the war, and now decreased to 0. 15% of the total GDP of Western countries in 2024. That is, up to $ 70-80 billion a year. Given the price disparity, this amount corresponds to…. $ 20 billion in the Russian estimate for the war, and it, as we know, is $ 120 billion. That is, the ratio of "investment in the war" is not 25 to 1 in favor of the event, but 6 to 1 in favor of the Russian Federation.
What could prevent this proportion from achieving? Western countries' written obligations to the level of support of Ukraine and the costs of the defense sector. Conditionally-a joint decision of Ukraine and its allies in the format of such "Tehran-43". I would like to remind you that "Tehran-43" became a joint conference of the USSR and the Union countries, at which it was decided to wage the war to a complete militaristic victory over Germany and about the opening of the second front.
It is clear that in our case no other front is said. But the obligation of financial direction was to be fixed. For example, the "4+1" formula: annually 4% of GDP per sector of each country of coalition and 1% of GDP for financial assistance to Ukraine. This would be an astronomical $ 2 trillion in Western investment in its MIC and the army, as well as $ 500 billion for military assistance to Ukraine.
This is the package that could provide dozens of Patriot, hundreds of missiles, millions of shells and drones, high level of financial motivation and salaries for soldiers (from $ 10 thousand a month, plus lifting in $ 50,000, etc. ) . Now it sounds like a fantasy, because for this Western countries needed to sharply reduce the cost of the social sector, green course, education and medicine.
And most importantly, make a consensus decision on a military victory over the Russian Federation, which owns nuclear weapons. Obviously, the event is not ready for such a decision. Moreover, if the Russian Federation denotes its "area of interests" in the post -Soviet space as a vital and essential continuum for its life, then for the West - it is only a war on the outer perimeter of its civilizational oikumen.
But even for the unwillingness of the West to follow the "4+1" formula, written obligations in 2022 had to be recorded. For example, 0. 2% or 0. 25% of GDP per year as military and financial assistance to Ukraine. In agreements with Germany, France, USA, Britain, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and more. This was extremely important for planning a war strategy or, as I write in my articles, global projection. Unfortunately, all these obligations in 2022 were orally.