The war with the Russian Federation can be delayed for decades because of Crimea status - the WP

The Peninsula's operation, according to the newspaper, can encourage Vladimir Putin to use nuclear weapons. The war of Ukraine with the Russian Federation can be delayed for decades due to the status of Crimea, which remains a stumbling block in the confrontation between the two countries. Although this is unlikely, it can be reached a certain agreement that will solve the problem with the peninsula, writes The Washington Post. The key territory for both countries remains the island of Crimea.

It was here in February 2014 that the Russo-Ukrainian War of Russia of the Peninsula began, which grew into a full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation into Ukraine in 8 years, in February 2022. President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky insists that only the return of Crimea will complete the war, for the President of Russia Vladimir Putin the loss of Crimea will become a catastrophe.

Therefore, Putin made it clear that any attempt of Ukraine to regain Crimea would cross the red border, and he will not undergo. The hope of Ukraine for the return of Crimea seemed to be an impossible dream for a long time, but the recent victories of the Armed Forces suddenly made it plausible and possibly dangerous. The West, supporting Ukraine, fears that any military invasion of Ukraine into Crimea can provoke Putin for decisive action, up to the use of nuclear weapons.

Some Western officials hope that an agreement on the transfer of Crimea of ​​Russia may be the basis of diplomatic termination of the war. Ukrainians reject this idea, and the Russians say that no agreements on the territory that they should, though illegally, need it. Ukraine's desire to return Crimea indicates that the struggle for the peninsula will not end without hostilities.

After the liberation of Kherson, who was vowed to make Moscow, former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev promised a "Judgment Day" in the event of any attack on Crimea. Meanwhile, Ukraine is developing detailed plans for the reintegration of Crimea, including the expulsion of thousands of Russian citizens who moved there after 2014.

According to The Washington Post, the refusal of any side to retreat from its claims to Crimea threatens to turn this war into a long-standing conflict, very similar to a confrontation in Palestine through the west bank of the Jordan River and the Gaza Sector, or through Nagorny Karabakh between Azerbaijan and Armenia. The annexation of the Crimea Peninsula in 2014 was very popular in Russia, and Putin ratings flew to heaven.

However, annexation was a violation of international law, and Western countries quickly imposed sanctions against Russia. For eight years, the fate of Crimea was also clouded in the Donbass war. But Zelensky began to formulate a plan for the de -occupation and reintegration of Crimea long before the full -scale invasion of Russia in February this year. Rori Finnin of Cambridge University, the United Kingdom, believes that compromise in Crimea is very unlikely.

"The idea that Ukraine in some way should just return to the status quo after 2014 is nonsense, because everything that happens is another escalation. It is difficult to imagine that Ukrainians will be satisfied with the refusal of this territory," he says Finnin. Russia also intends to maintain control of Crimea, which causes Western officials for fears about extreme measures that Putin can take to keep it.

In a recent interview, David Richards, a former headquarters of the British Army, said Ukraine would risk nuclear war to protect Crimea. "Putin can do something very stupid. He can use tactical nuclear weapons," Richards said. However, some Western officials hope that the Crimean Agreement may be the key to the end of the war, and stated that in their view, Zelensky and his advisers were more open to potential concessions than their statements.

During the initial peace talks in March, Kiev made it clear that he was ready for negotiations on the status of Crimea. This increases the likelihood that Zelensky may have other ideas that differ from ideas about other Russia -occupied territories of Ukraine, which he insists, must be returned.

"It may be an agreement on the Crimea, a properly conducted referendum, perhaps something like the Hong Kong Agreement, as it was between Great Britain and China, according to which Crimea will remain in Russia for several years," Richards says. Still, many experts believe that the war, which began in the Crimea, has it and end there. As focus has already written, the guerrillas took responsibility for the arson of the barracks of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the Crimea.