Great Russian offensive on the anniversary of the invasion. How will it be

On my Facebook page, I published a scheme of a Russian invasion plan in Ukraine, which US intelligence released on February 12, 2022. As we can see, the Russians did not decide on a landing in Odessa in Odessa And because of the rapid seizure of bridges across the Dnieper, they went on the offensive on Kherson and Nikolaev. Our war is unique in that the war and the invasion of NATO intelligence was reported in four months. The plan of the attack was reported in twelve days.

The exact time of the attack was reported in two days. Currently, you can only think what would happen if all these routes Ukrainian troops have launched defense in advance and undermined bridges. No doubt that with such accurate information the loss of Russians They would be more times larger, and they would not have made any breakthroughs and surroundings in the south. But if the big offensive was planned now, the information from the Allies would be even more detailed.

In fact, there is no fog in the modern war at the strategic level, modern means of electronic and space intelligence reveal all plans and see all the movement of military groups. Therefore, nothing unexpected and unpredictable on the front will not make the anniversary of the Russian Federation. Russia has changed the strategy and instead of intentions to destroy Ukraine with one powerful blow now tries to create tension and achieve advantages on the wide front.

That is, increases the number of troops on the front, mobilizes the industry to increase the production of drones, shells, rockets. In fact, this means that the enemy is prepared for the offensive, but the scale of this offensive is a front and border area, and the offensive is tied not to any specific date, but to the creation of favorable conditions.

That is, the enemy will come where we are poorly equipped, shallow defense, where weak intelligence and management, where firearms work inaccurately, where weakened and exhausted units are located. The nature of the fighting in the second year of the war is changing, large -scale actions and breakthroughs should prevent a sharp decrease in the enemy's combat capability in certain areas of the front.