"Bowless barrel": the defensive industry of the Russian Federation is not capable of providing reserves - isw

This is stated in the report of the American Institute of War Study for February 4. Thus, the Ukrainian military observer Konstantin Mashovets stated that there are now 17 regiments, 16 battalions and two regiment-battalion-tactical units in the reserve. The total number of Russian servicemen in the reserve is about 60,000-62,000, but only about 20,000 tactical and tactical reserve are sufficiently armed and provided with equipment.

Russia's largest reserves are concentrated in the south of Ukraine. The southern grouping of troops is responsible for the Bakhmut and Avdiivsky directions, and, according to Mashovets, the focus of the reserve in the area coincides with the directions of concentrating the offensive efforts of the Russian troops.

The Dnipro troops, which operates in the occupied Kherson region, has the third place in the number of reserves - more than 70,000 servicemen are concentrated on the eastern bank of the Dnieper River in Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions. The reserves of the Dnieper Group of Power could probably be easily advanced in the Zaporozhye direction, if the circumstances require, says Mashovets.

The central group of troops responsible for the estuary has the lowest concentration of reserves due to a smaller operational strip that requires a smaller number of troops. "Russian troops will be able to freely move their reserve concentrations between different sections of the front as long as Russia holds a strategic initiative at the Theater of Action.

Active Ukrainian defense throughout the theater of hostilities in 2024 will transmit Russia's strategic initiative, allowing Moscow to determine where, when, when, when, when, when and when and when it is zoom There are fighting in Ukraine and properly distributing Russian resources, forcing Ukraine to respond, " - said ISW analysts. The Institute of War Study says that despite the presence of large reserves, Russia is not able to fully provide them.

"The Russian defense-industrial base is unlikely to be able to fully provide Russian reserve labor, despite Russia's ability to maintain the current rate of operations and constant efforts to expand the Russian defense base. Operational strategic reserves are generally not capable, but the Russian command is prone to consider its reserve component. " Barrel without a bottom, "-said in the analytical report.

Accumulate resources if it supports the initiative throughout the hostilities throughout 2024, although it is hardly sufficient to provide a large number of mobilized reservists or conscripts this year. Recall that the Russian Federation has collected 500 tanks and 600 BMPs for the onset Yansk. The Kremlin plans to fully capture Donbass and part of the Kharkiv region to the Oskil River by the end of March 2024.