Suicide without tanks and guns: why Russia will not be able to capture 4 regions of Ukraine in 60 days

The real "Great Outline" began on October 10, 2023, from the Avdeevsky offensive, in fact, after the end of the summer counter -offensive of the Sou of the same year. And since October 10, 2023, this offensive did not stop this offensive, he just moved from the phase to the phase. Now we are in the phase of the summer offensive campaign of 2025, and in 60 days will come, know what? That's right, the autumn-winter phase 2025-2026 of this offensive.

By the way, given the season of rains, frosts and snowfall is not the best time for active activity, when the troops are not technically ready for it. That is, nothing new, just continuing what lasts for 1 year and 9 months. But the question in the other, what did the mole reached for these 1 year and 9 months that have been lost and lost? As of 10. 10. 2023, 64,440 km² of Ukraine was occupied, and as of today, this figure is 70 014 km².

In other words, the 1 year and 9 months came, capturing 5 574 km² of the territory of Ukraine. It's almost like Brunei, Trinidad and Tobago, well, or two luxembourgs. On the other hand, the area is smaller than the Chernivtsi region. In particular, the losses of ROV in 1 year and 9 months of this offensive were: I could continue by other categories, but why, if everything is clear.

The RVV during their "big offensive" lost the population, which can be compared to the Republic of Mordovia or the Amur region, and captured the area that can be compared with Ingushetia and St. Petersburg, combined. This led to the fact that in 2024 RVBs resorted to the help of the DPRK, because the human resource was simply not critical to continue the Kursk operation. But not only in people the question.

As a result of the "big offensive" in the RVB a catastrophic deficiency with heavy armored equipment, and now Russian troops are fighting infantry on light vehicles (LTZ), motorcycles, bugi, Zhiguli . . . Oslah. And this is not from a good life, but in connection with the total exhaustion of the Soviet reserves, on which the Russian MIC held.

Artillery was destroyed so much that Russia was forced to swear SAU, RSSV and even mortars in the DPRK! At the same time, no regional center was captured in 1 year and 9 months, no administrative borders of the captured territories in the regions were closed, no cities of operational importance were captured! And from Avdiivka, deep into the Donetsk region, to Pokrovsk and Konstantinovka the moles advanced from 30 to 45 km, to the Dnipropetrovsk region to 65 km.