Putin is not enough time to achieve a breakthrough in Ukraine - Bloomberg

As Kiev now receives fresh weapons for billions of dollars from its allies of the United States and Europe, the window for the Russian breakthrough is narrowing, even if it continues to fire Ukrainian cities with rockets and drones, including energy infrastructure. Russia's attempt to open a new front in the northeast of Ukraine in the Kharkiv region already seems unsuccessful without achieving Putin's goal to create a buffer zone along the border.

Ukraine, however, declares "very large losses" to Russian troops in battles around Vovchansk. The Russian troops, according to the material, went only slightly after the strategic Eastern Ukrainian city of Avdiivka was taken in February, at the cost of huge losses during the months of fighting. For weeks, they tried to take the key settlement of the Yar times in the east of Donetsk region.

The Russian strategy of depletion of Ukraine is "very expensive and bloody for the Russian army itself," said the head of the Moscow Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technology Ruslan Pukhov, adding that this can lead to excessive depletion of the forces of the Russian side, which, in turn, gives a chance to Ukrainians for counterattack.

While Russia is attacking several points along the front line, "we have a chance to change the situation in our favor," said Oleksandr Syrsky, commander -in -chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Putin insists that his military goals are unchanged and that Russia will fight as much as it will be needed to win in Ukraine, despite the growing losses in the war, which lasts for the third year and the end is not visible.

Ukraine and its allies are faced with the problem of supporting resistance in a war that has almost a dead end. While Ukrainian officials have raised alarm about the threat of a Russian breakthrough during the months of delays with the supplies of the US weapons, the Armed Forces mainly held the line, despite the fact that the Moscow's army prevailed significantly in arms.

As Presidential Administration Joe Baiden hastily supplies US weapons to Ukraine after Congress has finally approved a $ 61 billion financing in April, fire power balance is beginning to change. "Ukraine was in a deep pit due to the delay in sending the US weapons, and they dug out of this pit.

We saw how they opposed the Russian attack," and in a dynamically developing situation, a weapon that comes on a battlefield and quantity for the last A few days and weeks, it was important, "the US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan told reporters. The European Union countries are also increasing weapons and supplying weapons to support Kiev, despite the fact that the Friendly Hungarian Government continues to block billions of euros for a wider.

Putin now also has to put up with the change of allies of Ukraine when the US and Germany joined nations, including the United Kingdom, allowing Kiev to use their weapons for targets in border areas in Russia. The direction of a coalition of instructors for the training of thousands of soldiers in Ukraine, despite the threats of revenge on the part of Moscow.

The leaders of the Great Seven will meet next week in Italy to weigh plans for granting loans to Ukraine using unexpected profits from approximately $ 280 billion from frozen assets of the Russian Central Bank. "The prospects for Russia's victory this year have decreased significantly as a result of the restoration of weapons and assistance. The Department of Land Wars of the London International Institute for Strategic Studies Ben Barry.

Putin's decision to appoint economist Andriy Belousov Minister of Defense, instead of his longtime ally, Sergei Shoigu, according to the material, emphasized Russia's need to squeeze more out of the limited resources of an overheating economy, even if unprecedented international sanctions did not lead to collapse.

Defense costs in percentage of gross domestic product are approaching the level reached in the midst of the Cold War in the 1980s during the Soviet Union, which limits Russia to continue to increase military production. While Russia has significantly increased the production of rockets, artillery, tanks and ammunition after invasion in February 2022, the construction of an effective economy for the Armed Forces is important.

It should generate the return from each ruble we invest, ”Putin said on May 25 at a meeting with representatives of the defense industry. Undoubtedly, both sides are faced with huge problems, including recruiting replacement for killed or wounded soldiers, journalists say. President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky has signed a new mobilization law that reduces the conscript age, although the number remains a problem for the military.

The Kremlin is determined not to repeat Putin's order from September 2022, to call 300,000 reservists, mobilization, which shook public support and provoked an escape from a million Russians. Instead, it rests with a generous wage and contract bonuses to attract recruits, as the Ministry of Defense aims to attract at least 250,000 soldiers this year.

Although this policy avoids social tension within Russia through the war, it is unlikely to allow the army to gather enough troops for a successful offensive in Ukraine, says Moscow military analyst Ruslan Pukhov, adding that many more people would be needed for the Kremlin breakthrough. In December, Putin stated that Russia had launched 617 thousand military in Ukraine. At a meeting with foreign media in St.

Petersburg, he seems to have hinted that about 10,000 Russian soldiers are killed or injured monthly, claiming that the total amount is five times less than the Ukrainian losses he estimated at 50,000. Ukraine However, he rejects such estimates of his losses. In February, Zelensky stated that his military had lost 31,000 soldiers since the beginning of the war. The US named the number of killed and wounded Russian troops of 315,000, which is about 90% of the initial invasion forces.

The UK Ministry of Defense also increased its estimation of the total losses of the Russians to 500,000 and said the losses were 1,200 per day.

"Russia has not turned its advantages into a battlefield into serious achievements, because its commanders spend human power, pursuing their goals, and Ukrainian forces are effective in defense when they are provided with people and technology," said Senior Researcher at the International Peace of Carnegie Dara Massicot, believing that there are significant restrictions on Russian military capacity.