Deaf angle for Ukraine: what is dangerous permission to beat ATACMS and why cannot attack the Crimean bridge

Already today, on November 19, Ukrainian troops were struck by one of the arsenals of the enemy's logistics in the Bryansk region. "On the night of November 19, 2024, the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in cooperation with other components of defense forces, caused fire damage to the arsenal 1046 of the Center for Logistics and Technical Support," the General Staff said. According to the sources of Censor. NET, the forces of defense for the first time used the Ballistic missiles of ATACMS.

Journalist Yuri Butusov is convinced that such strikes may not lead to a rapid fracture in the war, but will accurately cause significant losses to the rear objects of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, complicate maneuver and enemy logistics, will make the air defense systems more strongly stretch. Military expert Dmitry Snegirev believes that permission to beat ATACMS missiles in the Russian Federation is a "diplomatic trap" for Ukraine.

"Giving Biden permission removes himself and his administration personal responsibility that he did not give any means of destruction to the Ukrainian side. Ukraine demanded ATACMS - get," says Focus Snegirev. According to him, this is the danger for Ukraine. After all, Kyiv appealed to the fact that the weapon was needed, which would change the course of hostilities. Now they have given such weapons in the form of ATCMS, but with limited use, but the rhetoric of Ukraine will no longer work.

Snegirev noted that in two months, to the Trump inauguration, the Ukrainian side should demonstrate the efficiency of using these missiles, which is why the attack was granted now. If this does not happen, Trump will be able to appeal to what ATACMS was given and where is a radical change during the fighting? The expert stressed that the ATACMS range is 300 kilometers, while strategic bombers are outside the missile defeat area.

He recalled that today the composition of logistics in the Bryansk region was attacked, but the enemy could move them to a distance of more than 300 kilometers, which would make it impossible to use. "But this will allow Trump to speak and press on Ukraine at the moment we gave you F-16, ATACMS, logistical assistance worth $ 180 billion, but unfortunately, the course of hostilities has not changed. That is, the dead end For both sides, so sit down at the talk table, "Snegirev explained.

He noted that the United States will use these missiles as a lever of influence on both sides of the war. For Ukraine, it is a limited range of lesions and quantity, whereas the inability to use rhetoric to not provide weapons. "That is, we gave, you did not break the course of the fighting, sit at the negotiation table," the expert said. Russia, however, is clearly understood that the West supports Ukraine at the moment of the talk process, strengthening its position in the Kursk region.

However, according to Snegirev, if the Russian Federation does not sit at the table of negotiations, then it is possible to grant permission to beat Ukraine throughout the Russian Federation. "Trump's plan involves the creation of a demilitarized zone, a length of 1300 kilometers. It is a serious trap for Russia. The length of the Russian-Ukrainian Front is 900 kilometers, a distance on the state border between Sumy and Kharkiv regions-300 kilometers.

The Armed Forces is controlled, " - said Snegirev. According to him, Putin insists on the status quo of captured territories at the time of negotiations. To put it bluntly, if the enemy controls the Luhansk region, then it remains it, but a similar situation with the territory of the Russian Federation - about 700 square kilometers will be Ukraine. The President of the Russian Federation understands that this will become a political and information defeat personally for him.

Саме тому основний напрямок російського наступу не Покровський чи Курахівський напрямки, а Курський, зазначив Дмитро Снєгирьов. "Путін намагається до дня інаугурації Трампа видавити ЗСУ з Курської області. Тому не випадково (союзники, — ред.

) надають дозвіл Україні бити по російській території саме в Курській області, аби ми утримали під контролем ситуацію до моменту інавгурації Трампа, дають нам можливість посилити Owning positions, "the expert said. He reported that the enemy was pressing throughout the front, but the Kursk region for Ukraine is strategic.

"We need to keep our presence in the Kursk region at any cost," Snegirev summed up. The Colonel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, military expert Oleg Zhdanov told Focus that there are now auction between Ukrainian allies and Russia, in particular, in terms of how much Putin is ready to make concessions. "Scholtz said Putin that we need to take out the troops and stop the fire. Putin replied:" No, we are not ready for such conditions.

"The United States take the next step and give permission to use rockets in Kursk region. I think the next condition will be the same condition For Putin by our partners. According to him, the Allies decided that they could not lose Ukraine. After all, the victory of Putin in any form will mean the event of the event. "Therefore, everyone here is fighting for their own interests. When the interests coincide, we are allies.

When the interests will disperse, believe me, the same United States will hand us us with all the passage, even the eye will not blink. To lose us. There is very little public information about ATACMS missiles that Ukraine has, said military expert Pavel Narozhny. That is, it is unknown which model and what year of production we were given. He stressed that permission to beat these weapons in the Russian Federation will help in the war.

After all, it will be possible to beat command points, fuel warehouses, ammunition, a cluster of troops. "Any destroyed soldier, a unit of equipment, burnt fuel, or ammunition is something that did not reach the front, and what did not harm our fighters," the focus of focus said in a conversation with the focus. According to Snegirev, there are political agreements between Ukraine and Russia to not strike strategic bridges.

"We do not beat the Crimean bridge, they do not beat the bridges across the Dnieper. Why, in fact, there was no blow to the bridges across the Dnieper for all years of the war? I do not exclude these possible arrangements," he said. The Narozhny reported that only cassette ammunition in Ukraine is aware of public sources. While there is also a fugas-smoky-a large capacity, within which there is an explosive. When this capacity falls on the target, it explodes.

As a result, a large vyal or crater appears, if the explosion falls to the bridge, it will be destroyed. While cassette ammunition is also a large capacity, but there are small ammunition inside, about 900-1000 units. When the warhead is revealed over the target, ammunition is poured out of it, each of which explodes. "It works very well against infantry, unnecessary or slightly target goals. For example, aircraft, helicopters, cars or trucks.

But if cassette ammunition falls on the bridge, it will only scratch asphalt or destroy equipment that will be at that moment on the bridge," Expert explained. Theoretically, Ukraine can hit a cassette ammunition on the bridge, but it will not be a lot. The situation will be different with a fugitive ammunition. He said that ATACMS is given using an inertial navigation system and GPS guidance.

The Narozhny noted that the inertial navigation system works on the principle of toy, which is split and pushed, as a result, it returns to the previous state in which it was. This system is not quite accurate. In particular, the error can be measured at tens or hundreds of meters. Therefore, to adjust the trajectory in these missiles install GPS systems. "But this guidance system can be deeply deep in theory. There are all the means of Reb around the Crimean bridge that can only be done.

Everything is done so that GPS does not work there," he said, and said it is a great opportunity to beat these Aerodrome rockets, enemy accumulation and fuel warehouses. When asked if it is possible to beat the Crimean bridge by Ukrainian missiles "Neptune", the Narozhny replied that yes, but why? It is unknown which navigation system is in this rocket. He suggested that Neptune could also be GPS and an inertial guidance.

The expert stressed that Neptune and ATACMS are completely different missiles. In particular, the latter is a quasi-hissalistic one that rises to a height of 24-25 kilometers and flies at speed of three strokes. Ця ракета змінює свою траєкторію під час польоту, а при наближенні до цілі, падає вертикально вниз. That is why it is almost unrealistic to intercept it.

While Neptune is a winged rocket that flies at a speed of eight strokes at an altitude of about a few meters above the sea and a few tens of meters above land. Therefore, to bring down Neptune is much easier at lower speed and larger size. Around the Crimean bridge there are many remedies of HR, S-300 and C-400 systems and aerosol systems that put so-called clouds. This is necessary in order for a visual guidance rocket to not be able to hit.

However, Neptune Ukraine affects other important goals, such as a panel crossing. It is her enemy used to transport ammunition because she is afraid to translate the bridge because of the threat of impact. In particular, if you blow up the ammunition on the bridge, it will be damaged and will be removed from a year or more.

We will remind, on November 19, the media reported that permission to beat ATACMS missiles for Russian purposes, in particular in the Kursk region, can help Ukraine to retain an important strategic territory. However, this may not change the course of war, as the Russian Federation had time to strengthen its defense.