Analysts point out that the year of the full -scale war has significantly depleted the reserves of Russian equipment and the live power required for the invaders of the Donbass offensive.
In his report, ISW refers to the statement of the head of the Ministry of Defense of the UK, Ben Volles, who argued that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation with tremendous costs are trying to advance in Donetsk and Luhansk regions, but London did not see "the increase of the Russians of only forces for great assault. " Wallace estimates that Russia could have been sending up to 97% of its army in Ukraine, and its combat capability decreased by 40%.
ISW cannot independently confirm the words of the head of the Ministry of Defense of Great Britain, but its remarks that Russia does not have sufficient mechanized combat force for breakthrough, is consistent with the preliminary forecasts of analysts. Wallace's observations, as stated in the report, also suggest that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation do not have poor capable reserves that can be used for a large -scale offensive in the Donbass.
American analysts have commented on the Armed Forces separately to carry out their counter -offensive to the occupation of captured territories. The ISW believes that Ukraine's success depends directly on the pace and volume of supply of Western weapons that were previously announced by the Allies.
"Timely supply of tanks and armored vehicles to Ukraine will further reduce Russia's ability to wage a mechanized war, while the Russian Federation is trying to restore its defense production in the near future.
Ukraine probably retains the opportunity to start a large -scale contradiction over the next few months, but its ability to do so, it is likely , largely depends on the speed and scale with which the event will give it the necessary combat equipment, especially tanks and armored vehicles, " - added ISW analysts in the report. The day earlier, on February 15, the head of the Ministry of Defense Alexei Reznikov predicted when the forces of Ukraine's defense can begin a counter -offensive.
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