Kremlin clock mechanism: Will Putin decide to use nuclear weapons

The risks are increasing because the Kremlin has never been able to victory on the battlefield and has not yet "liberated" the Donetsk, Zaporizhzhya and Kherson region. They also write that Moscow is preparing another "determined" offensive in the Donbass in the near future. To implement the Russian General Staff, it will be necessary to concentrate on a rather narrow section of the front, exposing other directions, because the forces are lacking not only to us but also to the enemy.

By the end of the year, according to the US intelligence community, both Ukraine and Russia will be able to continue the war at the same pace, but at the end of the year the Kremlin will not be able to replenish the loss of battle with the purchase of disposable contractors - the cheap human resource, ready to fight for money, will end.

By the end of the year, the Russian army will feel a serious shortage of weapons and ammunition, because the front is already consumed more than the rear can reproduce. Putin will either have to declare general mobilization and re-profile civilian production under the military, or end the war on any, no longer its terms. It is clear that both the announcement of mobilization and the reconversation of production and labor duty will not raise the ratings of the dictator.

He needs a victory by the end of the year. That is why a new offensive is being prepared, so the risks of Moscow's tactical nuclear weapons are increasing. It is also clear that it will not be easy for us. We have fewer human resources, and the remaining one is expressed in polls against the cessation of struggle and surrender on Putin, but he does not want to warn voluntarily. We lack weapons and military equipment, ammunition.

But the rise in the risk of nuclear weapons clearly demonstrates that the enemy is on the verge. And if we can correctly dispose of the time, the existing resources, Western assistance, if we can prepare a real impregnable bastion in the Donbass - our "Surovikin line" with solid minefields and concrete fortifications, if we are at risk of doing well ( The enemy will certainly be broken and the victory will be behind us. Even if Putin hit a nucleus.