As Nixon predicted the wars of Russia: "If Yeltsin fails, prospects for fifty years will become gloomy"

The communists lost" Cold War ", but the West has not won it. Communism has fallen, because their ideas have failed. republics, a new and more dangerous despotism will come to power, when people change freedom to security and have their future into old hands with new faces.

1919, the creation of NATO and the Marshall Plan of 1948 of the centuries of stability in Europe, slipping to the Second World War in the 1920s and 1930s, as well as half a century of successful restraint of the Soviet Union-all this was determined by how the state figures of the great states react to these critical moments. Whereas today we have opportunities and dangers of the same order, the event has not yet been able to take advantage of the moment to form the story of the next fifty years.

Russia is the key to success. It is there that the last battle of "Cold War" will be won or lost. The rates could not be higher. If freedom wins in Russia - if President Yeltsin's economic reforms lead to a successful market economy, the future promises to reduce weapons, cooperation in overcoming world crises and economic growth by expanding international trade.

More importantly, the success of freedom will affect the latest isolated strongholds of communism in the world - North Korea, Cuba, Vietnam and China. Their leaders will face irresistible pressure so that they take the first steps towards political reform. If Yeltsin fails, the prospects for the next fifty years will become gloomy. The Russian people will not return to communism. However, a new, more dangerous despotism, based on extremist Russian nationalism, will come to power.

We must remember that even before communism in Russia there was an expansionist tradition, which has seven centuries. The leaders of the new despotism, who have already organized to take power in their hands in the event of the failure of Yeltsyn reforms, will ignite nationalist passions and use the tendency of the Russian people to turn to a strong hand - even in a dictatorship - in difficult times. If new despotism reigns, everything won in the Great Peaceful Revolution of 1991 will be lost.

The war can explode on the territory of the former Soviet Union, as new despot is used to restore the "historical borders" of Russia. New Eastern European democracy will be in danger. Chinese totalitarists would sighed with relief. The new Russian regime, whose leaders will play with the former clients of the Soviet Union in Iraq, Syria, Libya and North Korea, will threaten our interests in hot spots around the world.

It will sell conventional weapons, ballistic missiles and nuclear technologies to any buyer. The new Russian despotism, inspired by imperial nationalism, is devoid of luggage of faith in dying communism, would be even more dangerous than Soviet totalitarianism. If freedom fails in Russia, we will see how a wave of freedom that has become the world will begin to retreat, and a wave of the future will become a dictatorship, not democracy.