"To hurt more": in ISW ​​explained that Putin would sit down at the negotiating table

"Any increased economic pressure on Russia-although it is a positive political step-it is not enough in itself to force Putin to sit at the negotiating table or change his idea of ​​victory," the report reads. According to analysts, the continuation of Western military assistance to Ukraine remains the key to the pressure campaign on Russia, which can force Putin to view his idea.

"Putin's victory theory is based on the assumption that the Russian military can maintain a gradual promotion on the battlefield longer than the Ukrainian forces can defend themselves, and longer than the West is ready to support Ukraine," ISW said. Experts emphasized that Putin's strategy is likely to continue to determine his unwillingness to interact with the United States and Ukraine in peace negotiations.

They add that the achievement of peace in Ukraine, acceptable to the interests of the United States, requires long loss of Russia on the battlefield or its significant defeat on the front. The ISW is convinced that the provision of states should continue to provide military assistance to Ukraine, as the loss of Russia on the battlefield remains a key factor in its current problems with equipment, live power and economy.

"Western assistance, including weapons systems, which only the United States can provide quickly and to the required volume, will allow the Ukrainian forces to better defend their positions, slow down Russia's promotion and cause even more serious losses to the Russian military," the Institute said.

Analysts emphasized that the increase in the losses of the Russian Federation on the battlefield, especially if they do not meet the territorial achievements achieved, will create a risk of Putin's efforts to balance between the costs of war and socio-economic needs and maintain its support within the country.