This opinion was expressed by Mikhail Podolyak, an adviser to the Presidential Office Head of the RBC-Ukraine news agency, published on June 19. Podolyak believes that Prigogine is a stimulant of these processes, seeking to find his starting point with which he will be able to influence the redistribution of political elites in the near future.
However, Prigogine himself will not benefit from this unless he or she does not create a system of political relations, which is not limited to the military sphere. He is engaged in war but has no political infrastructure. It has a media infrastructure related to patriotic themes. However, Prigogine shows that today's elite in Russia is unpromising and dying. The current elite will not have sufficient influence in the future, and most likely much of this elite will physically disappear.
The adviser to the chairman of the OP noted that Putin will not be able to transfer power through anyone else, he is the ultimate subject for the Putin Epoch elite. Some of them are not fully aware of this, but it is an irreparable process that is already ongoing. "This is, again, an objective process, because they have practically do not have time to adjust those actions that could protect them personally.
This is already visible, and therefore Prigogine simply the first of many marked another reality. In this reality, it will be huge in this reality The number of such groups that will try to negotiate a new elite consensus and form a transitive power in the Russian Federation after Putin, "Podolyak said. In his opinion, Prigogine is aware of the processes that take place in the Russian elite and seeks to use his media platform to strengthen his role and influence.
He actively promotes patriotic rhetoric and nationalist ideas, which allows him to attract the support of a certain part of society. However, despite its media activity, Prigogine has no political infrastructure and sufficient resources for the formation and maintenance of transitive power. Its impact is limited to the military sphere and media platforms, which may not be sufficient to achieve its ambitions. In addition, his media activity is alert in Russian society and in the existing elite.
His desire for redistribution of political elites and its possible impact on the future of Russia's political landscape creates uncertainty and potential shocks, Podolyak is convinced. According to Podolyak, the Russian liberal opposition, which is in exile, does not seek to offer an alternative conceptual path of development of Russia. Instead, they are looking for opportunities to strengthen their position in the New World.
"In terms of the effectiveness of what they offer is absolutely senseless, does not affect the Russian reality as such, the Russian political process as such, does not affect the course of war," Podolyak said. According to him, today the legion "Freedom of Russia" is much more effective, which has demonstrated that it could resist force methods, even before the Civil War.
"If the size of the legion was much greater, today we would have discussed not so much war with you, but events in response to a number of Russian regions, which would necessarily lead to a rapid change in political system in the Russian Federation," Podolyak added. However, volunteer formation is not an opposition, Podolyak added. As for the opposition, the adviser to the chairman of the OP noted that they may write good articles, occasionally make interesting performances.
But this is not interesting in terms of influence the political process. According to Podolyak, in the first stage, "Prigogines" will probably find out relationships with each other. "And then everything that is built today in terms of a single authoritarian vertical will be destroyed as such. And then there will be a 1991 process, when relatively free, parliamentary or presidential elections will be unlikely.
There will be a large number of different parties, including classical Oppositionists who will receive 10-15 perhaps 20 percent, "Podolyak suggested. In his opinion, it is not about decay, but about the transformation of Russia. Podolyak is convinced that the Russian Federation should be much "more compact country", and a number of ethnic regions can disconnect.
"There will be a completely different level, it will no longer be in G8, G20, it is unlikely that it will be in the UN Security Council, even though it is a nuclear state. There will probably be some other mechanism," Podolyak summarized. We will remind, on June 11, the fighters of the Legion "Freedom of Russia" told that they aimed at the complete overthrow of the Putin regime and the full liberation of the Russian Federation.
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