Group 25 thousand near the northern border. How to understand that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are ready for the offensive on Chernihiv and Sumy

Conversations about a quick offensive on Chernihiv and Sumy are hostile IPSO, says analyst Alexander Kochetkov. Undoubtedly, the enemy wants it and may try to realize - but it will become known in advance, and now he simply does not have the strength for this. Information custom sits about the offensive in Sumy and Chernihiv region, which the enemy seems to be planning from day to day, have increased from the north.

It is feared that it will be a repetition of the beginning of a full -scale invasion in 2022 with catastrophic consequences. I inform what I know. The enemy really wants to attack not only in the Avdeevsky direction, but also in the north. And even because of Belarus. And also from the Crimea. And also plant a landing near Odessa. And in general, to cut Ukraine in half. But non -imperia does not have practical opportunities for this.

Those about 200,000 soldiers who have been involved in their army are trained, and some of them will be ready for hostilities not earlier than summer. Now the enemy has the task of capturing the maximum part of the Donetsk region in the summer, and the Armed Forces command knows about it. The situation is extremely difficult there, it should not be hidden, but not catastrophic. Our aerial intelligence monitors the situation by at least 50 km on the front line and abroad of Ukraine.

Satellite intelligence of our partners controls all territories near the front. The real offensive in the north requires a grouping of at least 25 thousand. It is impossible to hide such a cluster of living power and technology. Our and Nativ intelligence has not yet received information about the preparation of the aggressor's offensive for Sumy and Chernihiv. I emphasize: so far. In the summer, the situation may change, but it will be known in advance.

Today, there is every reason to believe that we are dealing with a hostile IPSO, which intends to sow panic and prevent our command from transferring reserves to the Avdiivsky direction. By the way, not all the protective structures that are built in us correspond to the required quality. But just in Sumy and Chernihiv regions, the case is more or less acceptable.