Great Armistice on Easter: Will Putin go to the ceasefire by April 20

Reuters, referring to the anonymous interlocutors in the power structures of the United States, reports that the highest level US officials have discussed the recently what additional economic and diplomatic measures can push the Kremlin to concessions in the way of peaceful settlement.

According to the agency's interlocutors, the Trump administration representatives complained for a long time about the manner of Kiev for a long time, but in recent times they are increasingly disappointed by the position of Moscow, "which is inhibiting the peaceful process. " In this context, Reuters, reminding that Trump and his team were expecting to achieve a full ceasefire by the end of April, he adds that more in the US power team they do not consider these terms realistic.

"Putin vividly demonstrates that he does not even agree to the ceasefire, not to mention a full peace treaty, and Trump began to understand that the Russian leader deliberately takes time. In view of this, the likelihood that the war will be delayed and Ukraine will need more. He has repeatedly promised to put an end to the war in Ukraine quickly and simply, such a variant of events looks unacceptable, "the agency sums up.

At the same time, Fox News journalist Jackie Heinrich, citing a source familiar with the course of discussions, notes that Trump's administration is currently looking for ways to force the Russian Federation "to meaningful negotiations" on peace. Meanwhile, experts with focus spoke are convinced that there are several significant obstacles on the path to a comprehensive ceasefire agreement on April 20-30.

Recalling that Donald Trump recently spoke of the likelihood of completing the Russian-Ukrainian war in 24 hours, political scientist Oleg Posternak stated in conversation with focus: "Returning to the White House, Trump changed the deadlines and began to claim that the world can be reached. The Republican will celebrate 100 days in the oval office. By the end of April as percentage, I would give 50 to 50%.

" According to the expert's belief, Trump's misunderstanding of the causes of the conflict, it eventually leads to the wrong strategy: "The US President understands the cause of the war between the Russian Federation and Ukraine in Putin's desire to demonstrate his power and reluctance to allow NATO expansion. But as Ukraine sees this war? Instead, the Russian tsarist, instead of the restoration of "historical Russia".

And if Ukraine, the political scientist notes, feels sharply dependent on American assistance, then the Russian Federation, first of all, from a resource factor, demonstrates confidence and even aggressiveness. In any case, Oleg Posternak emphasizes, despite the bilateral negotiations along the Washington-Moscow line, it is impossible to reach a truce without the participation of Kiev in principle.

"Putin, thanks to the hybrid forms of truce in the sea and in the energy sphere, which do not act in fact, it seems not burning bridges with Trump, but at the same time does not make significant concessions on the way to peaceful settlement, showing his fanatical obsession and darling. To feel the approach of the realization of its goals, which is: occupation of 4 Ukrainian regions, not Ukraine's accession to NATO, demilitarization of the Armed Forces, etc. ",-concludes Oleg Posternak.

In his turn, political scientist Oleg Saakyan in conversation with focus makes the following emphasis: "In my opinion, a comprehensive truce in his normal sense will not be at all. The only thing that can be, this is a very short cease cessation of fire somewhere in the area of ​​April 20-30. At the last moment - just under 100 days Trump, trying to sell it for additional preferences of the Russian Federation.

" The expert believes that despite the understanding of what a "false game" the Kremlin is conducted, Ukraine will not be able to give up a short -term ceasefire, since Trump's blood from the nose requires at least some victory and Kiev will not want to become part of the problem of its achievement.

Modeling the further course of a talking track, Oleg Saakyan noted that the war would continue in the form in which Trump's perseverance is existing with a parallel extinction of Trump's perseverance and trying to translate the solution to this issue on the shoulders of Europe.

At the same time, before "jumping out" from the peace process, Trump is predicted by a political scientist, it is likely to impose additional sanctions on the Russian Federation in order to reject accusations of pressure only on Ukraine and Putin's fastening. The likelihood that Trump, along with sanctions for the Russian Federation, will strengthen Ukraine in the military sense, borders with a miracle, the expert is convinced, "although it remains on the table.

" In general, the political scientist states, in many respects the peaceful process is inhibiting Trump's desire to flirt with Putin and "keep the Russian Federation in his portfolio" for use in relations with China. In view of this, Oleg Saakyan says, it cannot be in principle a direct conversion between Putin's actions and Trump's steps in Ukraine.

The political scientist believes that in the future the main geopolitical partner of Ukraine will be Europe, and the status of a peacekeeper will turn into a transitional flag between India, China, the United States "and anyone else" because there is no space for the diplomatic end of the Russian-Ukrainian war at all.