Civil War in Russia: What are the threats to the Kremlin surgery in Kursk region

There is something truly historical now under Kursk, blogger Yuri Bogdanov is confident. No, of course, it is not the collapse of the Putin regime and the decisive battle - but it leads to very important changes right now. Let's take a few more things to draw your attention. Just to understand the titanic of this event to perceive war in Russia and the world. Because the week has passed and the first consequences are already visible. The first aspect.

Putin has achieved his long goal - for the second time a year Russian society in his mass is completely wound. Last year, he had to squeeze that her leader and his regime could be eliminated by the bandit - the owner of the Criminalized Nazi PEC "Wagner". This year, the Russian society as a whole to squeeze the invasion of the territory of their country of the foreign army.

One of the tasks of the Putin regime was the atomization of Russian society so that it is not capable of mobilizing against the regime. It was the formula "Economic stability and television grandeur in exchange for apolitical". Society was fragmented and eventually became apathetic and incapable of true grassroots mobilization. And all loyalty to the regime - either from hatred to "others" or habit.

There is also a balance of war as to the war: Putin floods the economy with money, they are also fighting mostly for money, we live as if on the last day, and there will be visible there. And now, it is even a society to "unity around the flag" is incapable. And Putin himself does not want to check the ability of society to act in common. Because Fig knows that from the joint action of a fragmented dehumanized society, it can come out, except for the Civil War.

And the trigerites of chaotic mass dissatisfaction can be any sharp step of power that will violate a long-term or short-term social agreement. The second aspect. Yes, Russian resources are still dominated by Ukrainian, but they are limited. In Russia, there are not enough people, techniques and ammunition at the same time to have a bloody offensive in the Donbass and cover their own border.

And here, Putin again awaits the development - either to go to the same risky unpopular steps with mobilization instead of hiring and involvement of ages before the war, or to reduce the potential of future operations for the safety of the border. This is not the choice that the leader would like to make, always confident in himself and his victorious victory. The third aspect.

The roar of the fall of the "red lines" is so epic that no official official - neither Putin, nor Shoig, nor Belousov, nor Medvedev - did not say a word about nuclear weapons. Because now to speak and not use it - it is reliably and undoubtedly secured the status of the one who is constantly bluffing. Russia has nowhere to increase escalation. Putin has nowhere to increase escalation without the risk of being destroyed "or" strangers ".

Russia can only repeat those crimes against civilians or the military that it has already committed. Next is nowhere. Of course, our partners have spent 2. 5 years to get sufficient evidence that Putin is afraid of nuclear escalation by himself, and they still need time to aware. But Kursk struck this bluff of a devastating blow. No, of course, the battle in the Kursk region is not a "collapse of the regime" and not a decisive battle. But it changes a lot now and will change even more in the future.