It is noteworthy that the resignation of the Cossack is served in the media as the release of a "pigeon peace" because of his position against the war in Ukraine. For example, the "Institute of War Study" links the liberation of the Cossack with differences in views with Vladimir Putin. According to "analysts", the Cossack insisted on negotiations with Ukraine, and the decision on his resignation testifies to the desire of the ruler of the Russian Federation to fight with Ukraine.
"The probable decision of Putin to displace from his close surroundings the well -known Kremlin officials after expressing the desire to end the war in Ukraine once again indicates that Putin and his advisers are united around their devotion to continue the war in Ukraine and around Putin's maximalist military demands," the statement said.
Referring to numerous publications in the Russian media at the Institute for War Study, they said that the Cossack had lost its influence in the Kremlin after Putin has advised Putin to cease fighting in Ukraine immediately over the last few months, to start peace talks and to reduce the impact of Russian security services. Instead, in my opinion, it can be considered as an information "throw" of the Kremlin on the radicalization of the Russian position on war.
The information of the Russian side regarding the resignation of the Cossack, as a representative of the "Peace Party", is absolutely untrue. I will explain why. The Cossack was responsible for the post -Soviet space, not only Ukraine, but all the post -Soviet republics, including Moldova, Georgia, Belarus. And it was the Cossack who offered the idea of the Moldovan scenario, that is, the so-called Transnistrian-Moldavian Republic, but in the territory of Ukraine.
During the so -called "Minsk meetings," the Russian side spread information about the Cossack, as a liberal, unlike Surkov, a person. In the Ukrainian media, the information was then found that the scenario of the settlement of war in eastern Ukraine was proposed by the Cossack more favorable for Ukraine. But it was not true. The Cossack at one time was connected with the so -called "Moldovan settlement process.
" It was in 2003 who suggested for Moldova the "Cossack formula" - an analogue "Steinmeier's formula". It envisaged the federalization of Moldova, the actual demilitarization of the Moldovan army and the curtailment of integration processes in the EU and NATO. Plus, they put forward the idea of granting special status not only Transnistria but also Gagausia. Therefore, those who then told that the arrival of the Cossack instead of Surkov is a positive for Ukraine - these are useful idiots.
In 2003, the Moldovan leadership in the person of the then President of Voronin had enough political will to abandon the Cossack proposals. Although he had agreed to them beforehand. Another thing was that the US intervention was then. Even then, there was a proposal to create a pro-Russian enclave, which will be part of Ukraine, and de facto will be subordinated to the Russian Federation.
It was the Cossack who then moved the ideas of the so -called "DNR" and "LNR" into the political circle of Ukraine. And it would be even worse for Ukraine than a frozen conflict. Because we would have received a bomb of slow action under the foundation of Ukrainian statehood. So what kind of "pigeon peace" are they now told? In fact, the prerequisites for frozen conflict were created following the example of Karabakh or Transnistria.
Reporting from Putin's exit allegedly opponents of the war, the Kremlin tries to promote the thesis that Russia is radicalized and wins, conditionally, a party of "hawks". This happens against other interrelated events. I attribute to such events and the emergence of a Russian dictator in military uniform in the training "West-2025". In the media, the emphasis is on the fact that he wore a military uniform for a large -scale invasion of a large -scale invasion.
The first time during a visit to Kursk region. According to the Institute of War Study, the appearance of Putin on September 16 in military uniform may be an attempt to "demonstrate Russian-Belarusian military force against the background of escalation against NATO states. " The report in particular emphasizes that it is a "signal" for Poland, Norway, the Baltic States and Finland, which the Kremlin has been threatening recently.
According to the Institute of War Study, the Minister of Defense Andriy Belousov and his deputies were visited with Putin. But what really happens? Why is the accents wrong? And it is said that on the eve of this public appearance of Putin in military uniform, there are very demonstration moments in Belarus. Namely - the presence of the US military at the same exercises. Moreover, the US military is personally met by the Minister of Defense of Belarus Khrenin.
And this testifies to the warming of the relations of the Republic of Belarus with the United States. Russia cannot understand this. By the way, it is the visit of the US military and their meeting at the highest representative level that actually puts a point in the scenario of the Russian Federation on the possibility of repeating the events of February 2022: either invasion of Ukraine or invasion of NATO countries.
Accordingly, Putin, in order to keep a good mine in a bad game, the next day comes out in shape - such all militaristic. But these two events cannot be divided. That is, the first event is Putin in a militar form, the second is the resignation, respectively, the Cossack, as if a representative of the "Peace Party.
" The demonstrative absence of the head of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation Valery Gerasimov at the Training "West-2025" is also part of the Kremlin's information operations. On the eve of the Cossack's resignation, the Russians actively promoted the version that, respectively, and Gerasimov could move because of his moderate positions. Instead, to appoint a more radical person in his place, who will, accordingly, escalate the tension on the line of fighting.
That is, we are trying to convince us that the Russian Federation has moved to the escalation of the situation. And this is information operations. And all this happens against the backdrop of a possible meeting of Zelensky with Trump, which was prolonged, and Trump's statements about the possibility of a tripartite meeting of Putin and Zelensky. And accordingly, the main thing, on the eve of the adoption by the European Commission of the 19th Package of Sanctions, which was delayed.
All these information influences occur at the same time as the emergence of Russian drones in Poland's airspace, when the Russian Federation went to "raising rates". It is noteworthy that on the eve of the military exercises "West -2025" the head of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense Kirill Budanov reported that since the first days of Russian-Belarusian exercises "West-2025" will be a strong information injection. Most sights will be from the Russian Federation.
"These exercises, after the events of 2022 in Ukraine, received clearly defined perception limits. They are no longer perceived as training, but as something, perhaps more than just military maneuvers. And there is a problem," he said. According to the head of the GUR, from the first days of the beginning of the active phase of the exercise, there will be a crazy wave of information exacerbation. "Occasion will go absolutely from all sides.
The percent of 90 there will be Russian, 10, unfortunately, others. Istry will be pumped," he said. That is, it is a multi -vector information operation of the Russian side. Initially, provocations, joint training, Putin in military uniform, the resignation of the Cossack, perhaps the resignation of Gerasimov.
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