While last week, this distance was about 6. 5 kilometers. Focus learned what was happening on the front now, and whether there is a threat to the Dnipropetrovsk region. Deepstate co -founder Roman Pogorely told Focus that now the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation is pressed on Kottle in Donetsk region in order to capture the settlement. In particular, the enemy bypassed it east, which complicates the situation of maintenance of the village.
"The Russians will continue to bypass Pokrovsk to surround it and block logistics. For this they do not even have to go on roads physically, because there are at least FPV-augments that they carry out damage. Practice has shown in many places that it is Unfortunately, it is effective for them, ”Roman Pogorely said.
He noted that at the same time the enemy goes to good luck, which through the terrain can become a "significant stronghold for consolidation and accumulation of resources" to develop further promotion. In addition, a small distance remains from the lucky to the administrative border of the Donetsk region, while the global task of the Russian Federation is to fully capture the region. However, how the situation will develop further - time will indicate, the analyst emphasized.
The military expert, the Colonel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Oleg Zhdanov noted in a conversation with focus that there is a threat to the Dnipropetrovsk region, since the war zone is approaching the region. While the safety of the region is in the hands of Ova, as the defense was prepared for a year, the funds were allocated. According to him, in the open space it is impossible to discuss the presence of defense in the Dnipropetrovsk region, because it is a secret.
However, on the other hand, he is convinced that the enemy has known everything for a long time, because the enemy drones fly into the territory of the region. The expert thinks that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation understands where the defense lines are. In addition, according to Zhdanov, the Russian Federation wants to create a buffer zone for Donetsk and Luhansk regions at the expense of the territory controlled by Ukraine.
"There is a risk of invasion of the region, but the effectiveness of the defense line will show events," he said. Former SBU employee and military analyst Ivan Stupak reported focus that the threat to the Dnipropetrovsk region is great. Pokrovsk for the Russian Federation is a priority, enemy troops will try to bypass it from the western suburbs. "The occupiers may be easier to go directly through the Dnipropetrovsk region.
I do not say that for them the Dnipropetrovsk region is a super priority, but if there is an opportunity to bypass, for example, in Donetsk region near Pokrovsk our structures through such gardens of Dnipropetrovsk region, I think, I think, I think, I think What they will do, "Ivan Stupak said.
The only question is, the analyst tells how wide the Russians will go deep into the Dnipropetrovsk region, whether they can fix themselves, whether there are fortifications, what area and the availability of resources in the Russian Federation. When asked if the Dnipropetrovsk region was ready for a hostile attack, Stupak replied that he did not know. There are talking about what yes, because "something is being built", but sometimes it can happen, in particular, in the field.
Oleg Zhdanov noted that the pace of promotion of the Russian Federation has been declining. So in the Pokrovsky direction of promotion are hundreds of meters, not kilometers. Moreover, there are several positions, not whole settlements. In his turn, Stupak stated that the front did not fall into, although Ukrainian troops were forced to retreat. Every day, the enemy moves 100-200 meters in different directions, but "creeping" promotion.
He believes that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will not stop until they have preconditions for advancement. According to Ivan Stupak, now the military is doing everything to stop the Russian Federation. But it all depends on the availability of people and their motivation. In particular, Ukrainian fighters are affected by the absence of victories, retreats, failures, insufficient ammunition.
The analyst emphasized that Ukraine sent "the best of the best" to the Kursk region, so that then "this card to play". But Stupak explained that while waiting for this "card", settlements are lost in the east. "If you then calculate the cost of this trump card of Kursk region, it can be very minimal, or in general, the minus can come out," he is convinced.
Oleg Zhdanov believes that the Ukrainians could stop the enemy, but it would need to be reforms to be reformed, the system of control of troops was changing. "As soon as we have a problem in the retreat of our troops, it begins to find out that the system of troops built by Syrsky does not work. Inaccurate information is presented up. Accordingly They do not know what to do with these orders, ”the expert explained. He also sees the problem in the "decline" of the mobilization system.
In his opinion, it was necessary to gradually reform the completion of the Armed Forces, not to release all military committees in one go. In addition, Ukraine does not carry out information and patriotic work on the education of society on the need to protect the state. "Do you see such a job? I do not see it, so there is a problem. Everything could be solved, but the promises remain promises.
Everyone says the right things, but in fact it turns out that they do not quite what is needed," Zhdanov summed up . We will remind, on January 18 the Ukrainian military with the call sign "Mushnay" said that the Russian Federation is coming in the area of the village of Great Novosilka near the border with Donetsk region. According to him, fighting began for the village.
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