"Autumn will be the decisive period." In Ukrainian intelligence, what could be the development of war by the end of the year

Further, it will be bad, November, winter, but the fighting will continue. They may not be so active, but we have experience in the use of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation against our Sumy and Chernihiv regions last winter. Although they escaped from there, about four battalions tactical groups are stored near our borders in Russia. They, firstly, firing our territory. Secondly, they keep in tension and distract forces and means, ”the intelligence representative said.

Video of the day he said, winter will also be difficult, and in the spring Russia will probably be prepared to restore more powerful fighting. “Therefore, in any schedule, the winter will also be difficult, because there will be disturbing fighting in order to keep the Armed Forces of Ukraine in tension. The second is a factor in energy resources that will be unambiguously used by Russia to destabilize our internal situation.

And against this background, they will prepare for spring, for the restoration of powerful fighting, ”Skibitsky said. The GUR representative added that Ukraine is doing everything to disrupt the enemy's plans. “But we hope that the measures we plan will be successful. And we will disrupt those plans that are in the Russian Federation on both further occupation and the Donetsk region. Despite the fact that we do not have enough resources that we have help us, we plan fighting.

We strike their management points, ammunition depots, live power, ”he says. Sibitsky also noted that the morale of the Russians is low and high losses cannot be compensated. “And the moral state of the Russian troops is changing - it is quite different than what was in early March, when they went to our territory. Today we see that the staffing of some units of the Russian Federation, which participated in hostilities from the beginning, February, is now 30%.

This is below any necessary indicators, ”Skibitsky said. "They need to be replenished, and we see according to statistics that the plans that Moscow has been built for a recruitment for a voluntary set is not performed by more than 50%," he added. According to intelligence representative, further attempts by the Russian Federation to occupy Ukraine can force the Kremlin to declare full mobilization.