Need forces are three times greater than in the Russian Federation: Exit to the borders of 1991 is unlikely - Foreign Affairs

About it writes Foreign Affairs. In Russia, the population is at least three times larger and much larger than the industrial base. The defensive positions of the Russian Federation are well fortified, the country receives weapons and technical assistance from China, Iran and North Korea. In the future, even more support from these countries is possible. Ukraine needs most of their forces only to protect about 80% of the territory that is still controlled by Kiev.

Western partners help, but they do not have the opportunity to produce enough weapons and ammunition. Washington supports not only Ukraine but also partners such as Israel and Taiwan. The US can and must probably provide Kiev with more complex systems and weaken restrictions on their use. But there is no such weapon that would become a game-cheeseman and allowed Ukraine to simultaneously protect what it is still in control, and to release what is already uncontrollable, journalists emphasize.

Many analysts refuse to publicly recognize such realities, partly due to fear that it will add Russia's courage and demoralize Ukraine. The Ukrainian economy is expected to increase only 3% this year after reducing about 30% in 2022. "The ongoing conflict makes it impossible for the country to start a serious recovery, as few people want to invest in structures that can turn into ruins again.

It also increases the final cost of recovery, which is estimated that has already reached $ 500 billion," - reads in publications. Ukraine and its supporters are pursuing a policy that is unlikely to be successful, but will undoubtedly be expensive. Time will not improve the situation. Fatigue is growing both within Ukraine and among partners. Foreign Affairs calls the trajectory that develops war, undesirable and unstable. In October, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy published his "Victory Plan".

It lists security guarantees and economic support that Ukraine wants but is not desirable. The plan of Zelensky calls for the "insane in the Kremlin, to lose the opportunity to continue the war," but there is no diplomatic goals, except that "Russia must permanently lose control of Ukraine and even the desire for such control. " In other words, there is no realistic strategy that the partners of Ukraine would support. "This is not a victory plan, but a recipe for the continuation of the war.