Journalists were accessed to classified reports of American intelligence. Including the one that was created on March 6 and represented by US President Donald Trump. There they questioned the Kremlin's willingness to end the war, as Putin has not yet refused to dominate the neighboring state. The media explained that the reports emphasize the difficult task facing the Trump team and asking whether the White House is correctly understanding Moscow's readiness for peace.
Some current and former US officials have explained that even if the Russian Federation is consent, it will have their own interests. Putin will use a pause for rest and re -equipment of the army, after which he will probably violate the terms of the agreement and provoke a provocation to blame Ukraine. Other officials drew attention to the caution of Putin's statement concerning the conditions of the truce.
At the same time, they acknowledged that there were no signs of his refusal to include Ukraine in Russian security and economic orbit. "He has a long -standing desire to restore Mother Russia," one of the officials said. The CIA and office of the US National Intelligence Director refused to comment. The expansion of American intelligence, Judzhin Rumer, noted that he did not believe in the end of the battle with the cessation of fire and the agreement on peace.
According to him, it is a "new constant confrontation between Russia and the rest of Europe. " Other analysts believe in a positive negotiation result if the US and Europe are correctly playing their cards. Another intelligence worker Eric Chiaramella has explained that Putin would stop fighting if he considers himself a winner. "But this does not mean that it will win.
The key to the conclusion of a profitable and long ceasefire agreement will be the creation of security mechanisms for Ukraine that will allow it to restore its military power and restrain a new attack," he said. Another source reported that some estimates about Putin's intransigence seem to be annoyed by Trump. According to him, the Republican "desperately wants to conclude an agreement", and Russia only strengthens its demands and does not show any desire to make concessions.
Putin himself publicly declared such conditions for peace: in addition, the Kremlin wants Ukraine to be only nominally independent, but in fact subordinated to the Russian Federation. According to the US extent, Putin's calculations can impair the deterioration of his position at the front. At the same time, a representative of European intelligence, citing intelligence, collected over the last month, informed that officials in Moscow consider Trump weak and open to manipulation.
According to him, if the armistice is agreed, Russia is likely to return to "hybrid" or non -military means of Ukraine. In particular, it is about economic and diplomatic coercion, penetration into Ukrainian elites, business circles, security services and army, as well as influence through the church. "The invasion of 2022 was because hybrid instruments did not produce results," the European official emphasized.
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