By Eliza Popova
According to analysts, the Russian insider source reported the first stage of the exit of "Wagnerivtsi" from Belarus to the Krasnodar region, the Voronezh and Rostov regions of the Russian Federation. Movement is carried out in groups of 500-600 people. Another source related to Wagner PEC said that the reason for the departure of the Wagnerians from Belarus was the refusal of Alexander Lukashenko to finance mercenaries.
According to the source, the Belarusian politician hoped that the expenses would take on the Russian Federation. At the same time, the ISW reported that they did not see the visual evidence of the departure of the Wagner PVC fighters from Belarus. Analysts also told what the motives for the movement of the Wagnerians back to Russia could be.
According to the authors of the report, Vladimir Putin is still concerned about the possible threat from Yevgeny Prigogin and tries to separate him from the Wagner PEC. Analysts believe that the President of the Russian Federation can intend to return the "Wagner" to Russia to promote the destruction or restructuring of Wagner PEC.
ISW also believes that Vladimir Putin may seek to lure Wagner PEC employees in the Russian Federation to make it easier for him to subordinate mercenaries to the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation or to completely dissolve the organization. We will remind that according to the NSDC Secretary Alexei Danilov of August 8, there are 6. 5 thousand representatives of the Wagner PEC, who are able to provoke Poland and Lithuania in Belarus.
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