How to improve the situation at the front on the eve of negotiations with the Russian Federation: four conditions from Foreign Affairs

Any waste of time and lack of Western partners' response to changes without effective measures will mean an increase in the chances of the failure of this strategy, according to the artign Affairs article. The author of the article Jack Wightling notes that Ukraine is now faced with the deterioration of the situation on the battlefield and the stagnation of diplomatic efforts between its partners on the eve of the US elections, where candidates have radically different approaches to conflict.

"During the summer of the Russian Federation, some significant advantages over the Ukrainian forces have been established, which allowed it to slowly but steadily through Ukrainian defense. These Russian benefits can be dull. But because the losses of Ukrainians are growing, Kiev and its partners cannot waste time.

If international partners of Ukraine Changes that do not depend on their direct control will be expected before taking action, as they seem to do now, they will increase the chances of failure, " - writes a military expert, adding that Ukraine should take a number of actions to gain an advantage over the Russians.

The first task is to continue to reduce the number of Russian reconnaissance drones in the sky, which the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation use to gather information and adjust rocket strokes. Western allies should also join the development and creation of new HRS systems, as well as create systems for the destruction of Russian drones to protect the equipment and means of defeat of the Armed Forces. The next task is to solve problems with artillery and ammunition.

According to Vateling, it takes about 2. 4 million shells a year to keep the front to the front. " Constantly staff combat positions throughout the front, with additional losses. " Kyiv still ordered the construction of defense lines, and "their construction and placement near combat positions were often unsuccessful, and the projects were involved in the involvement of more troops than available for their completion". to take them.

Over the past year, the losses have led to a decrease in the number of experienced Ukrainian soldiers in many units, and their training plan has not been able to provide sufficient staff or give existing soldiers proper training, " - states the veiteling. The fourth task is a military expert. The conviction, the preparation of new troops throughout the war was insufficient that the Ukrainian military was reluctant to be recognized and more slowly resolved.

The five partners of Ukraine conducted training of Ukrainian units, the logistical burden related to the transportation of troops from Ukraine together with their equipment, it makes it impossible to expand the scale of these operations. Kyiv's willingness to make difficult political decisions on mobilization of staff and continuation of training will determine whether the partners of Ukraine see their contribution to the Zelensky Victory Plan as part of a viable strategy, " - says expert.

Watelling insists that international partners of Ukraine can do a lot to reduce the advantage In the fire capacity and to help Ukraine to create effective protection against attacks of Russian artillery and managed aircraft. The supply of raw materials, machines and critical components of weapons production can have a significant effect.

Europe and the US should be able to force the Russian Federation to burn more of its ammunition and reduce the ability of the Russian defense industry to replenish its inventories, " - emphasizes the expert. He is convinced that only by combining all the steps, it can" make further advance [deep in Ukraine] extremely expensive for Russian.

"All the measures mentioned will need to be taken" systematically and large -scale "when the Kremlin will also believe that it can withstand that it is not really the case. They can start impunity, and Ukrainians simply do not have enough personnel and equipment to block all the directions in which the Russians can move. Preventing such a result is a prerequisite for Ukraine to start successful negotiations, "Jack Wetling states.