According to the military analysts interviewed by the publication, Ukraine has no other complex that could knock the plane over the Azov Sea, that is, about 160 kilometers from the front line. And this means that the Ukrainian command risked and moved the Patriot CRC closer to the coast. Representatives of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are silent about what means attacked the planes.
Only the Commander -in -Chief of the Armed Forces General Valery Zaluzhny on Monday, January 15, confirmed the fact of the destruction of such valuable aircraft for Russia. According to the air expert, the employee of the National Aviation University (Kyiv) Valery Romanenko, they were most likely to be Patriot Systems, which have modifications with a distance of 160 kilometers. "There are several such systems in Kiev, including those obtained from Germany.
These complexes have been used to protect large cities from Russian missiles," the expert notes. According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces, it is with the help of Patriot that the Ukrainian air defense knocks the Russian supersonic missiles "dagger". "To place Patriot to the front edge is more than a risky operation," says Oleg Katkov, editor-in-chief of the Defense Express.
He recalled that in the same scheme in May 2023 several Russian combat aircraft and helicopters in the Bryansk region were shot. Last December, Ukraine also knocked down three Russian bombers in the southern front of the front. What is unknown, but many observers, emphasize DW, suggest that they were Patriot. However, the Austrian military historian, Colonel Marcus Reisner, suggested that Ukraine has other complexes.
And not only terrestrial-A-50 could knock from the air or use a combination of different systems. The experts of the publication believe that, first of all, the Russians will think about pushing their valuable aircraft composition at least 100 kilometers from the front line.
According to Valery Romanenko, this will allow the Armed Forces command to gain certain tactical advantages, especially in those areas where the Armed Forces strikes the Crimea and goals in the depths of the occupied territories. "It can also improve the conditions for Ukraine's use of its combat aircraft - both for covering ground operations and for launching Western cruise missiles type Storm Shadow," the expert emphasizes.
Marcus Reisner considers the A-40-40 Success Operation-not only in the battlefield, but also in the information space, especially against the background of crises in other regions of the world. According to Reisner, such a blow can be compared with a blow on a Russian submarine in Crimea. But the most important result is that Ukraine has again demonstrated its military creativity and efficiency in the use of the limited amount of weapons that it is available.
"This is important for further support from the event," Risner said. At the same time, the Russian command as of Monday evening, January 15, did not comment on the event. Russian Presidential President Dmitry Peskov said that the Kremlin has "no information". At the same time, a fake later appeared that the Russian troops knocked down the A-50 aircraft.
According to analysts of the American Institute of War, it was invented in order to assure Russian pilots: flights over the Black and Azov seas are still safe, and the cause of the incident was a human mistake. At the same time, Risner suggests that the Russian command will not be able to act in the same way as before. That is, according to the expert, the Russian Federation will reduce the intensity of use, and not only such heavyweights, but also military fighters.
The A-50 radar reconnaissance aircraft is valuable primarily by the fact that the task of its crew includes deep intelligence and support when giving a goal. That is the "eyes and ears" of Russian aviation. They usually fly a long distance from the war zone. The media reports that such flying radar "fortresses" in the air-space forces of the Russian Federation in total are about 10, and not all are modernized.
It is known that one of these aircraft was damaged on the ground - at the airfield in Belarus. In the sky, a plane of this class is shot down for the first time in the history of aviation. NATO countries also have such planes - AWACS. The second aircraft-IL-22M-is used as an air command point. It was such a vessel that was shot down by Wagner PEC in June 2023 during a rebellion in the Voronezh region.
On January 15, the Air Force spokesman Yuri Ignat reported that Il-22 was escaped-he was able to fly to the airport in Anapa. According to him, the aircraft has been seriously damaged and will not fly anymore. We will remind, on January 16, the speaker of the PSU of the Armed Forces Yuriy Ignat said that the loss of one A-50 aircraft will not radically affect the schedule of Russian forces with the use of aviation on the front. However, the enemy will begin to be careful in the sky.
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