The senior researcher of the Council on International Relations and Military Viewer Max Booth wrote about it in the article The Washington Post. He noted that even the worst scenarios of the end of the war from China and the US are too optimistic. In particular, many experts do not consider the variant of nuclear war with China. The material states that two major powers, having joined in a military conflict, most likely use tactical nuclear weapons.
After that, only one step for an intercontinental nuclear war will remain. "China is under the speed of rapid nuclear potential extension. In the last Pentagon report on China's military projects, it is said that its nuclear arsenal will increase from 400 warheads to 1,500 warheads by 2035 today," Booth wrote.
The expert also wrote that the states to win the war for Taiwan, if China still decides to invade, will have to attack military bases directly on the territory of the PRC, not just Chinese planes and ships in the Pacific. In addition, if this happens, Beijing will decide to strike on US bases in Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Guami, even in Hawaii and on the west coast.
Of course, according to Booth, countries have an incentive to give up the use of strategic nuclear weapons because of the threat of "mutual self -destruction". However, according to the analyst, often military and political command acts irrationally in the heat of battle. Especially when the troops suffer significant losses. "The United States should continue to support Taiwan and restrain China, but should also keep open communication lines and avoid unnecessary provocations," Booth said.
Earlier, on April 25, the Australian Ministry of Defense released a defense strategic review that presents plans to counteract Chinese influence in the Indo-Pacific. The United States has ceased to be the only world hegemon, so you need to increase their own forces to confront with China. April 24 reported that China conducted successful tests of a new type of artillery, which uses artificial intelligence to increase the accuracy of shooting.
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