Will the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation escape in Abkhazia - Newsweek (map)

According to journalists of the publication, construction and dredging work is visible in the pictures of the port of Okramchire in Abkhazia, temporarily occupied by the Russian Federation of Georgia. This would make the Russian fleet less vulnerable to sea drones and the Armed Forces. A little earlier, the leader of the Anclava Aslan Bjania, according to Newsweek, reported to the state Russian publication "Izvestia" that the Russian Federation creates a new naval base in the region.

"This is all aimed at increasing the defense capability of both Russia and Abkhazia," said Bjana. However, according to Newsweek experts, news about the Black Sea Fleet base in Abkhazia caused fears that Moscow could expand the war in Ukraine while engaging in conflict. He hopes to join the European Union that supported Kyiv's efforts to resist Moscow.

Journalists have become aware that the Kremlin has already moved some assets from Crimea to its base in Novorossiysk in the Krasnodar region of the Russian Federation. However retired Vice Admiral Robert Murretta, Professor of Public Administration and International Relations at Syracherasa University (USA), several devastating attacks on Russian ships and port objects of the Black Sea Fleet by Ukrainian SCO forced Russia to seek safer harbor for their fleet.

The continuing movement of the Russian Black Sea Fleet to the East, "he said with the thought of Professor and Frederick Mertens, a strategic analyst of the Hague Center . "The fact that this strategic retreat became inevitable for the Russian Black Sea Fleet is at the same time evidence of current Ukrainian operations and a clear indication of the danger that is the future arrival of F-16 fighters,"-he commented on Newsweek.

The retreat to Okramchire, according to Mertens, is a sign that the war at sea is not under Putin's plan. However, he emphasized that Moscow will also be able to reload the winged rockets "caliber" on his ships, which "has a serious military meaning". According to Newsweek journalists, Ukraine has asked its Western allies for several months to provide the F-16 F-16 generation aircraft and made these promises in the midst of the summer counter-offensive of Ukraine.

However, according to experts, it is not yet clear when these planes will arrive in Ukraine to become a significant renewal of the Ukrainian Air Force and to be a "much more serious threat" to the Black Sea Fleet of Russia. So far, according to analysts, Ukraine uses the old Su-24 aircraft of the Soviet era, equipped with the UK Storm Shadow, but has already helped to displace Russia from its main Black Sea base in Sevastopol in Crimea.

So, in mid -September, Ukraine used Storm Shadow rocket to destroy a Russian submarine in Sevastopol. "It is believed that this is the first and only attack on the submarine that has been successfully conducted. The threat of F-16 aircraft will be much more serious, since these American planes have the right interfaces to use Western weapons in full,"-summed up Mertens.

According to the expert, Moscow will only have to rely on their own air and space forces, known as PCS, to protect their surface fleet. Russian air defense ships do not reach American counterparts, which is a "real problem" in the face of increasing Ukrainian aviation in the Black Sea. Turkey is still blocking access to the Black Sea, said Vice Admiral Robert Murrett, and hinders the penetration of new Russian warships into this region.

He believes that Russia can even lose control of the central part of the Black Sea, although this does not mean that Ukraine will then be able to control the area. Georgia's policies have already condemned plans to create a Russian naval base in Okamchire as a "direct threat" of Tbilisi and his hopes for joining the European Union. "Such actions are a gross violation of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Georgia," Newsweek reported in Georgia Foreign Ministry.

However, according to experts, the preparation of the base in Abkhazia did not jeopardize Georgia's desire for the EU. Experts still believe that Georgia is unlikely to be drawn into a grueling war, the term of which is now approaching a two -year mark. Although this is unlikely, such a future interaction can potentially be a false reason for additional Russian military operations against Georgia.