War with Russia: Three scenarios of Ukraine's future after Trump's conversation with Putin

The most likely scenario is that the status of the territories occupied by Russia will remain in the suspended state and under the actual control of the Russian Federation. Territorial exchanges, including Kursk region, are possible. Ukraine also receives security guarantees and in the future the object of negotiation will be how much they will be. If Europeans establish a good white house, they will try to persuade Trump to maintain Ukrainian support in Ukraine.

EU countries will increase their own capabilities at this time. The ideal scenario - the US and Europe will interfere if Russia abandons the agreement. At the same time, the risk of war with Russia is forcing even the most annoying supporters of Ukraine. Kyiv partners could increase Ukraine's military support and strengthen sanctions against Russia.

The event would also help Ukraine to develop the defense industry and restore its strength - all this will become the main restraint factor of the Russian Federation. "If the EU is able to provide all points, the path to join Ukraine to the block over the next decade will open," the analysis authors say. The "nightmare" for Kiev scenario-Trump loses interest in the future of Ukraine before the conclusion of any agreement.

This will lead to the termination of military and financial assistance and the EU will have to solve this problem. "Even if Trump's interaction with Putin will lead to a peaceful agreement that will act initially, it can only delay the next phase of what Putin called the war between NATO and Russia," journalists said. However, any agreement will retain Ukrainian sovereignty and allow the country to begin to recover. According to Russia, significant territorial heritage will be fixed.