$ 808 billion and a five -year defense plan: what the US victory will cost - The Hill

And they presented the scenario of what will happen if Russia wins in the war, Ukraine is losing, and the United States is forced to adapt to new realities. It will cost US taxpayers in an additional $ 808 billion more than the United States has planned to spend on defense over the next five years. About it reports The Hill.

The analysis conducted by the US Institute of Entrepreneurship showed that the victory of Russia over Ukraine will cost US taxpayers about seven times more than all the help allocated by the Pentagon to assist Ukraine since the full -scale invasion of Russia in 2022. The Institute notes that this assessment is based on a scenario for which the US is stopped with assistance, and Russia's further victory requires the US government to adapt military capabilities, potential and security.

"Then the research uses Defense Futures simulator to estimate the costs required for restraint and, if necessary, to victory over Russia in Europe, as well as to prevent further conflict from the more brazen opponents in the Pacific and the Middle East," - said in material from material from the material Elaine McCasker. She holds the position of senior researcher of the American Institute of Entrepreneurship. Earlier, she held the position of Acting Deputy Minister of Defense of Pentagon.

Without the support of the United States, Russia will move forward in 2025 as weapons will end in Kiev. By 2026, Ukraine will lose effective air defense, which will allow Russia to carry out continuous large -scale bombardment. The usual forces of Ukraine will continue to fight courageously, but most likely to collapse by the end of the same year, which will allow Russia to capture Kiev and then move to the border of NATO.

The inspired Russia will restore its combat units, use Ukraine's resources to strengthen its potential, place its forces along the NATO border and will be ready to attack outside Ukraine by 2030. The idea that America should be removed from Europe and save its strengths and money, overlook the global nature of the conflict. Although Europe must, of course, invest more in its own defense, history has clearly showed us the danger of thought that we can ignore our interests in any region.

Such regional conflicts remained in the past. Nothing showed it more clear than China, North Korea and Iran's military efforts. In order to protect itself - in national, military, economic terms - the US must remain a world state and invest in the opportunities necessary to protect its partners and themselves. The failure of American determination in Europe only motivates aggression and threatens our prosperity around the world.

If Ukraine is allowed to fall, Washington will need larger, more capable, more responsive and more military forces. To restrain or, if necessary, defeat Russia, the US armed forces will need 14 new brigade combat groups, 18 additional warships, eight additional infantry battalions of the Marine Corps, 555 additional aircraft of the Air Force and 266,000 people for the increased structure of forces.

The United States will need to strengthen its presence in Europe, including preliminary air defense, deliveries and ammunition. The diversification and expansion of the industrial base that supports our military forces will also have to be much faster than it is now to meet the high requirements of the modern war.

Although the conflict on the European continent will first and foremost be conducted by land troops under the cover of military-air forces, Washington will also need to be investing in naval opportunities. The US Navy will have to give up plans to reduce the total number of ships, stabilize its aircraft carrier fleet at 12 and buy additional vessels - submarines, destroyers, frigates, as well as logistics and auxiliary vessels to keep the fleet in the sea longer.

The United States will also have to maintain a higher degree of readiness for basic and deployed forces, which means additional preparation, improvement of objects and stocks of spare parts. They will need more and better the forces of special operations that are needed to collect intelligence, the formation of the battlefield and disorganization of the enemy.

Given that Russia is an experienced space and cyber state, the United States will also need more sophisticated architecture and management system for both areas. Instead, if America and its allies are accelerating assistance, the victorious Ukraine will see Russia retreat for its borders with the victorious and weakened army, which is difficult in economics, weakened by partnerships and a healthy dose of internal problems.

Ukraine, on the contrary, will be live and free, with a prosperous industrial base and a modern army. Washington will be able to reduce its deployment and opportunities in Europe. He will still be present there, but will be able to direct more resources and attention to the Pacific. The US is not only safer when they are raised, but also save money. The US is faced with numerous national problems.

Illegal immigration, public debt financing and increasingly unpredictable global security situation - all competing for attention and resources. But the rates are especially high in Ukraine. "Even if you reject safety considerations and moral reasons for the support of free Kiev, which are of great importance, Ukraine's support is a financially sound solution for the United States," Elein McCasker concludes.

Recall that on January 29, the Administrative and Budget Office (Office of Management and Budget), or OMB, canceled its memorandum that frozen federal grants and loans and caused mass confusion this week. However, US Presidential Decrees Donald Trump to freeze foreign aid and stop initiatives to ensure diversity, equality and inclusivity remain valid.