"Substituted shoulder": What is the role of China in the war on the Russian side - NYT

Beijing sees the potential benefit in support of the Russian Federation: increases the impact on Moscow, receives oil, retraction of the United States into war. But the risks are also high. Russia can finance the war against Ukraine despite Western sanctions. As? The US point to Beijing. About it reports The New York Times. In the last few weeks, the Russians have been able to seize several settlements in the north of the Kharkiv region. In the summer, the offensive will be continued in the east.

The ability of the Russian Federation is surprising, writing journalists, because the war is the road, and the Russian economy is limited by sanctions. The occupiers can continue the fighting through China, US representatives say. Beijing promised not to send the weapons of the Russian Federation, but he supported the economy of Moscow. For these funds, the Russian Federation produces weapons and also buys Chinese electronics for equipment.

Without the help of Beijing Moscow could still fight, but it would be much weaker. Russia's support is risky. The US and Europe have warned that they could impose sanctions against China if it supports the war. But for China, the benefits of Russian victory in Ukraine can outweigh costs. Among these advantages: the war intertwined the US and their allies into a protracted conflict, exhausted the reserves of ammunition from the US Army. This made Russia more dependent on China.

Beijing also learns from the Russian experience of invasion, as it has an ambition to capture Taiwan. It all depends on the results of the war. If Ukraine loses Western support, the event will not be as strong and united as once. Because of this, Beijing may take the risk of becoming more aggressive in the regions that he thinks. But if the event remained the only one and Ukraine wins, it will be the opposite. Russia will be weaker. The US and their allies would prove that they remain formidable.