The final stage of the war: Ukraine's de -occupation can be delayed for years - experts

Ukraine is in the last stage of the war, which may be one of the most difficult, said Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Experts believe that despite the depletion of Russia's military resources, the final phase of war can last for years.

Volodymyr Zelensky stated that Ukraine is at the last stage of the war: the first stage was the admiration of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation of our territories, the second - a stop of actions and interception of the initiative, the third - is happening now, and it may be the most difficult. At the same time, the head of the Main Directorate of Intelligence Kirill Budanov believes that Russia will have enough resources to wage the war by 2025, and equipment - maximum by 2026.

The statement of President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky was a surprise for servicemen, says Focus military expert Alexei Hetman. According to him, the fighting on the front is now very difficult, and the military is doubted that the victory of this or even next year will be achieved. Unless there are any unpredictable events. "It should be understood that the commanders see the situation on the front sectoral. The combat orders that receive" above "relate only to their front segment.

The situation is a few globally - Supreme Commander -in -Chief Vladimir Zelensky, Commander -in -Chief of the Armed Forces Valery Zaluzhny and those who plan. The presidential statement is not political, it is directly related to hostilities. And it means that there is information that gives you the opportunity to speak. It is difficult to break the situation on the front of Russia. Since neither strength nor combat resources is not enough.

Everything they try to do the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation is to stop the Ukrainian strategic operation, attacking in different areas of the front. "This is a tactical level. They try to stop the Ukrainian offensive and prevent active fighting to reach a possible victory [Donald] Trump in the US elections. Then try to freeze the conflict, forcing Ukraine to sign a conditional" Minsk-3 " sides of Western partners.

In this sense, in this sense, in the last stage of the war, Ukraine implements plans for the de -occupation of its territories, and Russia is trying to counter, " - says Focus Deputy Director of the Center for Army Research, Conversion and Disarmament Michael Samus. The last stage of the war, which the President spoke, includes two important operations - the de -occupation of Crimea and the territories of Donbass, which can last for years.

The duration of hostilities depends on the capabilities of both Russia and Ukraine. For example, experts suggest that the Armed Forces will want to organize another defense of Sevastopol. This will not globally affect the strategic situation, as the Armed Forces will continue to destroy occupation troops in the peninsula, but the process will stretch over time.

The same can be said about the Donbas - as the army of the Russian Federation receives ammunition in this direction of the front, some part of the territories may remain occupied for a long time. "There may be a phase of war when we delect all the territories, but Russia will continue the shelling. If the sanctions are not effective and the price of oil will take off. There is a Putin regime as long as there is, the threat remains," Samus continues.

Hetman suggests that the war will not last for several years, since Russia will not have enough resources for intense fighting. Now, according to the expert, the enemy has gone into a deaf defense. If you look at the numbers, the Russian Federation can make about 20 tanks a month. Plus, about 50 more - get from strategic reserves. And that's about 70 tanks can be supplied to the front line, 50 of which are not in the best condition. "In a month we will destroy about 200-250 tanks.

For any schedule they will end in resources. Therefore, it is important for us to continue destroying the equipment and living power of the enemy, then their army will become incapacitated, and the de-occupation will be carried out faster. Therefore, when [head of GUR Kirill] Budanov said that they will have the technique by 2026, which means that by 2026 they will have zero units of equipment.