Caribbean Crisis 2.0 and negotiations with Putin: As US Presidents play permission to strikes on the Russian Federation

First of all, the most incapable version of the fact that it is, they say, a kind of "mine" that Biden leaves Trump, and almost an attempt to prevent him from coming to power due to the sharp radicalization of the situation in the world. To begin with, some of our experts "throw" on the US political system, the idea of ​​political culture in Ukraine, which is said in Odessa, two great differences. In general, many people are sinning in Ukraine.

We have started projecting our ideas about the world and the format of political relations. But if it is most dangerous for the propagandist - to believe in his own propaganda, then for the analyst - not to eliminate the factor of subjective perception of reality. Unfortunately, in Ukraine, many imagine the relations of Republicans and Democrats in the Party of Regions and our Ukraine, and the relationship between Trump and Biden - in the style of Poroshenko and Zelensky's relations.

But in Western political culture, it is not possible to dismantle monitors in the NSDC situational room purchased for "cash". And it is not necessary to leave the successors of mines in the form of "sudden" changes of the constitution. Moreover, the US has the concept of "transitional administration" when all decisions made by a coming team are consistent with the winner team. This is happening now.

Moreover, Democrats are not clearly in that tone to play such "performances": they are in a state of electoral defeat and political demoralization. Especially given the scale of the Texas massacre in the election and the President and Parliament. Moreover, there is no volitional source for "grunting doors".

Biden is clearly not in such conditioning, moreover, he is offended by his one -party parties, because he was still convinced that he would have won Trump if he was not written off in circulation. Harris after such a strong personal defeat is also not ready for the role of the "radicalizer". In addition, its "factory settings" is a stay in the shadow of a stronger leader. She never took the initiative in her own hands.

Then who? Blinken? Yes, it can be good on a guitar at the Kiev bar, but is unlikely to be capable of such a large -scale radicalization. In addition, it should be borne in mind that from December 15, the dead political season begins in the United States and it will continue to the inauguration of the new President in January. And in three weeks, even for a very strong desire, a new model of war cannot be started. Then what happens? I use baseball terminology.

A Pitcher is a player who throws a ball from a pitcher's slide to the house where he is catched by a ketcher. Considered the most important position on the field. Ketcher is a player who is behind the house and accepts Pitcher. An important position that requires not only the player's personal skills, but also the consistency of actions with a pitcher. Now let's put players on the field. The pitcher is Biden, and Ketcher is Trump.

Biden launches a "radicalization" ball, and Trump has to "catch" it at the beginning of next year. This is very important. The fact is that Trump and Putin's peace talks in the current format of war carry a number of threats to the United States and personally to the new president. We have already seen that even Putin's call was criticized against Germany. Any personal meeting with Putin will cause even more resistance in the Western establishment.

We can assume that Trump simply won't pay attention to such remarks. But what then Trump to talk to Putin? About how the demarcation line will be held in the Zaporozhye or Kherson region? In the current format, the war is a regional territorial conflict, for example, as once between India and Pakistan or Iran and Iraq.

It would be strange if Trump was talking about Ukraine without Ukraine and resolved with Putin some territorial issues that affect the national interests of another sovereign state. In any case, it would seem extremely negative and would not be perceived primarily in Ukraine and Europe. By the way, Putin has always tried to reduce the status of war against Ukraine through euphemisms such as "his" and prohibition to call war war.

On the other hand, Putin maximizes the international confrontation status, emphasizing that it is a conflict between Russia and the West. And here the term "war" is not only forbidden, but also encouraged. And also written in capital letters. In Russia, they even began to feel the new term "defensive war" with the West. Biden avoids this classification in every possible way.

His position was as follows: Russia as an aggressor and Ukraine as a victim of aggression; This conflict has no external context; any attempt to find such context-justification of aggression; The task of the United States is to help Ukraine; America has nothing to discuss with Moscow (which did not prevent closed consultations on escalation levels). That is why Baiden's meeting with Putin could not be, as well as Harris's meeting with Putin for the next four years in the event of her victory.

It is extremely dangerous for Trump and Putin to be held within such a "heritage" for the new US administration. But this meeting is likely to be. And for its implementation, the war against Ukraine must receive a global context. The level of threats should reach the international level. That is, it should not be just a "case" of two opposing parties. This should relate to dozens of countries and the safety of their citizens. This should be the Caribbean crisis 2. 0.

Trump came to power under the slogan "to prevent the Third World War. " And by the time of its inauguration, the general background should be just that. During the Caribbean crisis in 1962, no one mentioned Cuba, and Fidel Castro did not participate in Kennedy and Khrushchev negotiations. Trump should prevent the Third World War. This is what his supporters, such as Ilon Musk, write about it, creating an appropriate information context.

For this you can get the Nobel Peace Prize, go down in history and become a hero of documentaries and feature films. But for discharge, there should be a voltage. That is why Biden's administration acted as a counterpoint of Trump's administration. The counterpoint is a meaningful opposition. Why do you need Biden? The most important thing is that it is needed by a deep state. There may be some personal moments of the relationship of two politicians (hidden agreements).