The Russians are preparing to attack. What do the enemy move in the Berdyansk direction

The situation in different directions of the Southern Front-Berdyansk and Tokmatsky-develops differently. The military expert Konstantin Mashovets tells in detail, trying to predict the further development of events. In the Berdyansk direction, apparently, the 5th separate tank brigade (OTBR) of the enemy came into motion. North-East village. Kermenchik is fixed by the movement of several groups of enemy tanks, 3-4 cars in each (in total, not less than 10-12 units).

It is possible that these are units of the 34th or 37th separate motorized rifle brigades (OMSBR) of the enemy, which were put in the defense strip of the 37th OMSBR, but probably, it is still "Buryat Tanks". If so, obviously, the enemy still prepares something like local counterattack in the area of ​​the village. Novomayorsk, or in the area of ​​the village. Novodonetsk. This is also said Novomayorsk.

In the same direction, apparently, the enemy, using a kind of "pause", conducts a local regrouping of forces and means along the turn of the village. Side - village. Covenant desire. The meaning of which is probably the output of units of the 247th Airborne Assault Regiment (DSP) to the reserve, or moving it to the area east. Covenant desire (second - more likely). Thus, obviously, the 60th OMSBR of the enemy will still have to "expand" their strip of defense in the western direction.

At the same time, to continue to defend in the village of the Covenant Wish. Honestly, I think very badly that there is still this long -suffering brigade, but, apparently, the Russian command considers this connection - practically "immortal". Most likely, it will still be "subordinated" from the south 136 OMSBR and will give several tanks from the 218th Tank Regiment (TP). From the village. Staromayorsky almost to the village.

The side, across the main directorate of the advanced units of the Armed Forces in this direction, one very long and fairly wide forest strip is stretched. I think it will become, in the near future, an artificial "main position" for the entire center and the right flank of the 5th General Army (IDA). Moreover, the enemy continues to keep several fortified positions to the north of it. That is convenient enough for him. By and large, the other way to keep the defense area around the village.

Staromlinovka, than to strengthen its flanks, as well as the joint of the 5th name of the 36th name, for the Russian command-simply does not exist at this time. However, I do not think that all these "evasion" of the Russian command will pass by the attention of the Ukrainian command. After all, sooner or later, a pause in the Berdyansk direction will end.

In the Tokmak direction, 2010 SMEs of the enemy, apparently, is now trying to gain a foothold along the northeast and eastern outskirts of the village. Novoprokopivka, after leaving from the heights northeast of this village. But, as for me, it is "methodical" - not quite a successful decision of the Russian tactical command in this direction. It, in fact, objectively reduces the chances of the enemy to keep the first position of the main defense between Novoprokopivka and Verbovo.

There are now two battalions of Russian "Barsyk" (Bars-3 and Bars- 14 "Sarmat") are trying to stay on it. They would be more likely to achieve this if the 2010 SMEs departed from the lost heights to their defense areas, not to Novoprokopivka. Moreover, these battalions and units of the 71st SMEs and so in a rather difficult position because the right of them in the 1429th SMEs of TRV was not kept at the first position of the main border of defense.

Of course, the "main hope" of this, the most "threatening" plot is the 71st SMEs of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division (MSD). But in this sense, firstly, he himself, let's say, is quite painful, and secondly-quickly and "painless" (that is, without harm to the defense Only the 104th DSP.

If you try to pull something else, for example, the 291th SME (and I think to do it, the enemy will still have, because if you do not do it-then the Armed Forces will simply move to the borders of wheat-cane, leaving "on the rear" of the 42nd. MSD), then the whole idea of ​​the "counterattack under the dugs" will have to be postponed. In general, the enemy in this direction now needs to take time for 2 things: it can only be done in one way. To keep, and Novoprokopivka, and Verbovo.

Because, obviously, the Armed Forces Command, like any other sober-spoken leadership, will not climb the "Slom's head", forward (in the sense, south) without "providing" their flanks before. That is, it will be forced to bind the battles directly for the first and second village. Russian troops are still "holding the traverse" of the first position of their main defense turn at the level of the village. Novoprokopivka, but northeast of it, it has already begun to "fall".

It is obvious that the advanced units of the Armed Forces have already tied battles in the village. Verbovoy and, according to the "reviews from places", in particular the content of interceptions, the enemy there is "unpleasant" there is amazed by the level of efficiency and intensity of work of Ukrainian artillery. Especially, a combination of "high -point" + "cassettes". Well, finally, there will be a somewhat paradoxical conclusion.

But, I immediately warn, he is only my own, a little weird, and it should not be considered as undeniable. It is based mainly on the assumption - as I would act on the site of the Ukrainian command. Therefore, practical, real in it, well, let's say, not very much. It has more intuitive. Now, who you do not listen to or do not read from specialists (especially on YouTube, or in Teleleg and other media), everyone is just saying that "Tokmak fighting will be heavy. " So, I think they will not be at all.