Thus, it becomes obvious that the enemy increases the sincereness of his defense on the shade between the village of Priyutne and S. Zavitne desire. Petty, clearly tries to echelons it. This would not happen if the enemy's command did not feel a threat to its Staromlyniv defense node by the Western Flang.
At the moment, there are already: 1) in the first echelon-part of the lyioflang units of the 60th separate motorized rifle brigade (OMSBR); -part of the combat units of the 394th SMEs; -71th SMEs; -247th DSHP. 2) in the second echelon-336-a separate brigade of the Marines (MP); -136-A OMSBR (likely to be used as a "garrison" S. Starolynivka); -114th SME. From the village of Remivka and the village of Novozlatopol, this group is covered by units of the 34th OMSBR and the 143rd SME.
There is another nuance, in this direction, which pushes to certain reflections-the enemy began a concentration in the area of the village of Starolynivka of units of the 218th tank regiment (TP) of the same 127th MSD-the main connection of the 5th name. Therefore, we can state that, with the exception of the 57th OMSBR (which is now "active" in the Bakhmut direction in the area of S. Kurtymovka), almost the entire 5th name of the enemy is already involved in the Berdyansk direction.
And this, to me, is very good news. It is the most powerful unification of the entire Eastern Military District (S. ) of the Russian Federation. 2. In the Kupyansk direction, the enemy began to "not happen". Honestly, I was waiting for the restoration of attacks of units of the 15th OMSBR of the enemy in the directorate of Sergiivka-S. Novosergika yesterday, but this did not happen.
Moreover, the advanced units of the enemy, departing from Nadiya, began to be fixed to the east, and in the direction of the village of Kovalovka, even, a little greeted. However, as for me, I think in the near future the enemy from the position on my bridgehead at the river Zherebets, which extends from Sergiyivka to the village of Novovodane, forces of the 15th and 21st OMSBR still renew the attacks.
The most likely directorates will be: - towards the village of Pershotravneve, to the north of the Svatovo road - Borova; - towards S. Ostrovsky (or towards Ostrovsky ponds); - And on the village of Stohlibvo. To the north, apparently, the enemy will continue to "call" around Stelmakhivka and the area south of it (the border of the meat -carp - Andreevka).
Well, obviously, the "fun couple" in the form of the 7th SME and the 27th OMSBR of the enemy will also try, finally, to take the "Nadobov" Novoselivske. I think they will try to solve this "problem" with the help of attacks from the south (from the village of Krivoshivka, along the road to Kupyansk), well, and of course - towards the village of Berestove, north of North. 3.
In the Tokmak direction, in the area of the village of Debotine, the enemy makes "titanic" efforts to keep this village. And it is clear why, in the case of its release of the Armed Forces, they will be able to virtually begin to overcome the main line of defense of the enemy in this direction, which passes here between the village of Novopopivka - Verbve.
Yesterday, on the area of the advanced units of the Armed Forces, the enemy, for this purpose, conducted a local (tactical) regrouping An unattractive "Kopani village, another additional battalion Bars-11. In general, it is obvious that in the coming days, the issue of "the width of the touch of" advancing advanced units of the Armed Forces with the main line of defense of the enemy will be resolved in this direction.
The units of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the enemy, from the 58th General, which actually form the basis of the enemy's troops that defend in this direction, will try to "narrow" this tide as much as possible. However, the question is that the command of the 58th General for this is very limited "Instrumental", and already so much that it is forced to regroup its units from "unattled" plots on "attacked" at the tactical level. We sum up a little.
Honestly, I do not quite understand the logic of the Russian command about its operations at the operational level in the southern operating area. -Obviously, the troops of the 58th name of the enemy are now in a rather difficult position. Its both divisions (19 MSD and 42nd MSDs) are drawn and heavy defensive battles, and in the conditions of explicit "backup difcision" and for a long time.
Only the 136th OMSBR, which has been dug in the area of Starominovka in the Berdyansk direction, all the rest of the parts and units of the army have already been involved in the area and long-term fighting remain involved. -At the same time, it is obvious that the connection of the 35th name, the 36th name of the enemy (the first is sewed around the city, the second-"defending" in the area In the "Defense Operation", let's say, "not at full capacity of their capabilities.
" The first is more than the second. -Yes, the offensive of the Armed Forces in the Berdyansk direction is carried out "at the joint" of two Russian armies-the 5th and 36th. Therefore, in the case of the 36th name, the decision of the Russian command can still be understood, its 37th OMSBR has already been introduced into battle (between Uzrozhyne and Novodonetsk), and the 5th separate tank brigade (OTBR) "Ok- Here "will be driven, probably in the direction of S. Kermenchyk - S. Novodonetsk.
Honestly, I see only two possible reasons why the enemy's command still has not taken at least one OMSBR from the 35th ID for use in the defense strips of the 58th Army Divisions to facilitate its position:-or or The Russian command obviously does not want to weaken the defense area around Pologa, and in no circumstances; - Or it does not consider the situation, both with reserves and in general, promptly in the southern operating area so critical for itself that it needs to "take off the last cut".
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