"Peaceful Plan" for Putin or "Black Tag" NATO: What is carrying Scholz Erdogan

According to him, the main negotiation topics, in addition to the issues of bilateral relations, will be the Russian-Ukrainian War and the situation in the Middle East. In particular, the Hurriyet Turkish newspaper, with reference to sources in the government, reports that in negotiations with Chancellor Scholec, President Erdogan will pay attention to the issues of economic, political, military and energy cooperation with Berlin, and also expects to find ways to revive EU relations.

The publication reminds that Germany ranks first in Turkey's exports, which is $ 21. 5 billion, and third place in imports ($ 27. 5 billion). Meanwhile, it is noted that the "most resonant" topic in Istanbul negotiations promises to become a Russian-Ukrainian war. Recall that Turkey, in the spring of 2022, shortly after a full -scale invasion of the Russian Federation, gathered in Istanbul a delegation of Ukraine and Russia for peace negotiations that have failed.

And in the fall of this year, the official Ankara became a group of peace countries, created on the initiative of China and Brazil to settle the "Ukrainian conflict". As for Germany, the La Repubblica Italian newspaper recently, citing a source close to the German government, reported that Olaf Scholtz was preparing its own plan of peaceful settlement, which does not exclude the transfer of part of the Ukrainian territories.

The Chancellor himself in a recent interview with the German TV channel ZDF stated that now the moment has come to start discussing how to come to peace, and spoke for Russia's participation in a new peace summit. In the first days of October, German Die Zeit reported the desire of Chancellor Scholz "in the next weeks" to call Putin, with whom he did not communicate since December 2022. And on Wednesday, October 16, Olaf Soltz publicly declared the need and willingness to speak with Putin.

The German edition of ZEIT, citing sources in the government, reports that Scholz plans to talk to Putin to the G20 summit in Brazil, which will take place in November. "There is no taboo for Scholz. Meanwhile, the issue of peaceful settlement in the Russian-Ukrainian war is transformed into a hot topic of German domestic policy.

Thus, the candidate for German Chancellor and the head of the opposition Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Friedrich Merz during his speech in the Bundestag on October 16 proposed to create a contact group from Germany, France, the United Kingdom and Poland, "to develop a poll in Europe after conflict. Ukraine. " According to him, these efforts must follow two principles.

First, proposals for a peace plan should not come from one Germany, but should be in close coordination with these European partners. Secondly, according to Friedrich Merz, it is necessary to create the conditions for "in the countries of Eastern and Central Europe, especially in Ukraine, there is no impression that the political map of Europe will be overwhelmed without their knowledge.

" Earlier in September, the head of the ruling Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) Rolf Muttzenik stated the Rheinische Post that the Western countries need to create a contact group to start the diplomatic regulation in Ukraine. In his opinion, China, India, Turkey and Brazil could be involved in this group.

Thus, given the ambitions of Berlin, to intensify their role in the peace process, the only possible mediator between Scolts and Putin during the Summit of Brix in Kazan on October 22-24, can be the President of Turkey, experts with whom Focus spoke with. In particular, the chief consultant of the Center for Foreign Policy Studies of the National Institute for Strategic Studies, Ivan Us, in conversation with Focus, notes: "During a meeting with Erdogan, Mr.

Scholtz, in my opinion, will present the Turkish leader's position on his drift in the direction of Brix, which was created as a certain The Euro-Atlantic project is increasingly saying that Turkey cannot be a member of the Alliance and a Brix participant in the topic Including from the Euro -Atlantic bloc.

In addition, Ivan Us emphasizes, the important nuance is played by domestic political weather in Germany on the eve of Scholz and Erdogan's meeting: Putin, then in an ultimate order he should tell him that if Moscow does not stop aggression in Ukraine, Berlin will give Kiev Taurus and remove any restrictions on the use of German weapons. The face.

" Considering that it is important for the event to prevent the legitimization of Putin, Erdogan, the expert states, can be a mediator and transmit the messengers of Scholtz Putin during Brix Summit. "Well, what Russia always states that, they say, open to a dialogue with a shower and not only, it is a kind, rather cloudy story.

We are also open to dialogue, during which the Russian Federation declares the intention to capitulate, but Russia is so such The desire does not burn yet, " - sums up Ivan Us. For his part, the Executive Director of the Center for Applied Political Studies "Penta" Alexander Leonov in conversation with focus makes the following emphasis: "Scholtz through Erdogan can feel possible compromises and concessions that Russia is ready to go to stop the war. But there are two options.

Scholtz, at his own risk, acts as an independent figure, offering some "peaceful" documents developed by Berlin. that remains intrigue. " However, Alexander Leonov suggests, there may be other algorithms: "For example, Scholz can hint Erdogan that Turkey helps Russia too much, pumping Russian gas, conducting so -called parallel imports through its territory and so on.

Erdogan is not too diligent in this direction and, above, pressed on the Russian Federation, forcing it to peace talks, but from the point of view of force. " An important factor that presses on Scholz, encouraging him to be activity in the issue of resolving the Russian-Ukrainian war is the political situation in Germany, the political scientist is convinced.

"On the one hand of the CDU/CSS, as the main opposition force, not only requires more assistance to Ukraine, but also issued several resolutions on the provision of Taurus to Kiev. And on the other hand, there is an" Alternative for Germany ", which promotes the case with the need for negotiations with Putin . - the political scientist emphasizes.

Assuming that Olaf Scholtz seeks for parliamentary elections, which, we will remind, will take place on September 28, 2025, to earn the laurels of a person who was able to find a way out in the situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the expert summarized: Social trends in their country, trying to lavish as much as possible.

Indeed, as a survey of a research company by youugov, to order by the German agency DPA 4-8 October, a proposal to conduct a telephone conversation of German leaders and Russia support 59% ). When asked if Ukraine has to abandon Crimea and temporarily occupied territories during the negotiations, 39% of respondents responded negatively. At the same time, 23% believe that Kiev could refuse claims to the ARC and other territories, another 22% - Ukraine could recognize only Crimea in Russia.