The counter -offensive of the Armed Forces will not be productive, but you can defeat the Russian Federation in the other way - Rusi

The counter -offensive of the Armed Forces in 2023, according to analysts, was immediately doomed to failure, because he relied on a rapid breakthrough of defense and an active shunting phase, as it was during the liberation of Kharkiv and Sumy region in 2022. Ukraine takes time to accumulate the necessary forces and accumulate the military component, so the offensive operations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not be productive in the near future.

This is stated in the report of the British Royal Institute of Joint Services (Rusi) on the reasons for the failure of the Ukrainian counter -offensive in 2023, which was written in cooperation with the General Staff of the Armed Forces. Analysts noted that the initial concept of operations for the Ukrainian offensive was substantiated, but was not implemented.

The reason for this was the operational mistakes, which were made by both Ukraine and its international partners, namely: "The combination of these mistakes limited the ability of the troops to act at the right pace and maintain it," the report said. In addition, in the summer of 2023, the Defense Forces of Ukraine concentrated 12 brigades on 30 km of the front of the front against six regiments in deep defense.

But he, according to analysts, was actually doomed because he relied on a rapid breakthrough in defense and an active shunting phase, as it was during the liberation of Kharkiv and Sumy region in 2022. Also in Rusi linked the failure of the Ukrainian counter -offensive with the leak of secret information with the US plans, the Kremlin of mass mobilization, concreting enemy defense and the onset of Bakhmut by Russian Zec for Bakhmut.

"In current realities, when the Armed Forces for any active action lacks weapons for 14 conventional reserve brigades, when the enemy continues to storm and still rests on powerful defense lines when it has no lack of human resources and is still blocking the use of some species Weapons for full range - another counter -offensive will only be a bad double, "analysts said. The Rus explained that it takes time for Ukraine's counter -offensive.

It is necessary to restore offensive combat power, which means that the restoration of offensive operations in the foreseeable future is not viable and will not be productive. "Ukraine should change priorities in favor of the armed forces of the Russian Federation as much harm as possible to win the necessary time," - said at the Royal Institute of Joint Services.