"Bakhmut already seems paradise": why the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can't take Avdiivka - the observer (map)

On October 10, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation set the task to break the defense of Avdiivka, but after more than 3. 5 months they did not succeed. According to the plan of the Russian command, the invaders had: all these tasks made up only the first wave of the planned offensive, but it "choked". "As of today, the Russians have been able to accomplish only the task with the cutting of the railway and the capture of the Terkic. Other tasks have remained unfulfilled," Kovalenko explained.

Russian invaders were forced to change tactics, and now they were not the breakthroughs of defense "in the fields" but on city battles. The enemy tries to enter the city from the north, east and south.

Nowadays, the most fierce battles in the Avdiivka area are in the following directions: "It is obvious that in the northern sector the Russians have difficulty with a breakthrough at the cokemic plant, as a result of which they try to move through the fields to cut the route 0542, thus blocking the provision of Avdeevsky garrison," The analyst noted. In the eastern sector of the Armed Forces, they try to advance and control the area of ​​sand career.

"Relative success in the Russians is celebrated in the southern sector, where they caught on the construction of Chernyshevsky, Sports and Cathedral streets. The plan of Russian troops here is extremely clear-the cutting of the highway 0505, which goes to Hrushevsky Street, which leads to the 9th quarter,"-he said. Kovalenko. It is about the area of ​​multi -storey building, which, despite the constant blows of enemy aviation, continues to play the role of heights.

The invaders also try to press from the side of the industrial zone - in the direction of Kolosov Street. The command continues to increase the group near Avdiivka. Currently, the forces of several general military armies are concentrated there, the total number reaches 45 thousand soldiers. "Changing tactics, an attempt to impose city battles, will allow Russian troops to reduce the losses that, even according to Russian military and profile publications, make up in the fields of 1 to 10.

On the other hand, city battles will not allow to cut the main logistics artery that provides The garrison is the 04 track and to promote the city, "the observer emphasized. The expert noted that recently Avdiivka began to be often compared with Bakhmut. However, in his opinion, this is wrong. Kovalenko agreed that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation use identical tactics. However, in his words, this is the similarity between the defends of the two cities.

"The main difference is the area and logistics," the analyst emphasized. Bakhmut is much larger than Avdiivka by area. In addition, it had to make a much longer "jerk". In the question of logistics, Avdiivka is more vulnerable, because it is provided by only one artery 0542 and a number of field roads. The support of Bakhmut's defense became a multi-storey building, and the Avdiivskyi 9th quarter-"in a vulnerable position".

"The concentration of the enemy's forces, taking into account the length of the front and the city area, is much higher in Avdiivka than during the storming of Bakhmut. It also distinguishes Bakhmut's battles from Avdiivka, because the command of the Russians does not spare the forces and means of regular troops. hypertrophied amount, "Kovalenko added.

Despite the fact that Avdiivka is smaller in area, sharply dependent on logistics and sometimes vulnerable compared to Bakhmut, it was a "strong nut" for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. The invaders have been "teeth break" due to the stable defense of the city for more than three months. "And judging by the trends and tactics that changes, the Russian command will be able to please his president (Vladimir, ed.

) Putin before the election only by the bags that have only been multiplied, with corpses of Russian soldiers, but not admiration for the city. Avdiivka is already a paradise with Avdiivka, ”the observer summed up. Recall that DeepState created a rating of the most successful offensive operations in the territory of Ukraine for 2023. The offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on Bakhmut took first place. Analysts also summed up the combat clashes for January 2024.