Summer offensive of the Russian Federation: Where will be the main direction of hostile blow - the Telegraph

7% of the total land area of ​​the country. According to Ukrainian estimates, Russia has suffered 434,000 casualties last year: approximately 270 killed or wounded for each captured square kilometer. Last month, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation advanced since November 2024. Russian commanders are now hoping for a breakthrough in Donetsk region, where 99% of the Luhansk region and about 77% of Donetsk are already under the Russian occupation.

Analysts suggest that the capture of the rest of the neo -industrial cities and industrial centers of Donetsk region is likely to be the main purpose of the offensive. The time of the offensive is summer, they say, not accidental. Summer leaves provide better shelter for the coming troops.

More importantly, Russia has spent winter, strengthening human resources, eliminating technical shortcomings, improving tactics, improving combat and increasing the mortality and maneuverability of its percussion drones. She is now ready to test these improvements, but as the publication writes, the decisive breakthrough remains unlikely, although Putin seems to be sure that significant progress can be made on many fronts.

In the publication with reference to the Polish military analyst Conrad, music states that Russia's traditional tank offensive is unlikely. Given the dominance of the war with the use of drones, this tactic is outdated. "The battlefield is transparent. Any large-scale deployment of armored vehicles will be destroyed relatively quickly. We have seen the Russians move to purposeful attacks in small units, often only three to five people.

Attacks from the mouth of 50 to 100 people almost do not occur," the analyst explained. Fighting in the northeast of Ukraine in Sumy region also intensified. After Ukrainian troops have been largely displaced from the Kursk region of Russia in March, they now face pressure in neighboring Sumy, where Russian President Vladimir Putin seeks to create a buffer zone to prevent future invasion of Russian territory.

According to Ukrainian military intelligence, about 125,000 Russian soldiers are concentrated along the borders of Sumy and Kharkiv. In the last ten days, four border villages have been reported. "It is unlikely that Sumy or Kharkiv is Putin's main goals. Meanwhile, some Ukrainian military sources recognize the possibility of losing the city, but claim that such loss will not be catastrophic. Russia is suffering severe losses in city battles without changing a significant strategic balance.

In addition to the advantages of drones in Russia, there is another advantage - the ability to attract new soldiers much faster than Ukraine. The number of Russian troops in Ukraine increased from 500,000 to 620,000 per year, despite the fact that in 2024 they suffered more than 400,000 losses. We will remind that earlier it was reported that Russian occupation troops began active offensive actions in the village of Malynivka of Zaporizhzhya region with minimal use of military equipment.