Landing in the Kherson region: why the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation cannot be forced by the Dnieper

It looked fun and persistent, but does not cancel the main problem - the command of GV "Dnepr" leaves no hope to plant a landing on the right bank. Moreover, in the information space, from time to time there are reports that the mole on the left bank prepare flotilla of boats for the landing on the right bank . . .

To understand what is being said, it should be recalled that the Dnepr GV is the largest group of troops in the jar: more than 125 thousand bodies! But at the same time, it is the group and the most ineffective, and in the most difficult situation of all others. The fact is that all this human mass is forced not only to control the Left Bank Kherson Region and part of the Zaporozhye, but also a colossal in the standards of any other GV a potential line of collisions.

In the case of Dnepr GV is the Dnieper River, and the length of this LBZ is more than 300 km! But this is not all, because there is a Kinburg spit in the risk zone and the south of the Kherson region, which is 350 km, together - 650 km! In Dnepr GV, the longest potential LBZ and the largest area they are forced to control are almost 34 thousand km². Roughly speaking, 3–4 occupants per 1 km².

At the same time, the territory of Kherson region differs from many areas of hostilities by a small presence of settlements in the deep rear zone, as well as the division of the whole region into zones-plants in the form of P-47, P-57, M-14, M-17. In fact, 20-25 kilometers from the banks of the Dnieper-and the formation of defense borders loses meaning, as they will fall in non-stop mode.

Probably for this reason, virtually all the biomass of GV "Dnepr" is concentrated exactly where they are extremely worried that something can happen, and not sure that the "Guard" of Teplinsky will not withstand an unexpected blow. But the question is to keep under the conditional control of Oleshka and a new kakhovka, a naked pier and a loved one, but it is quite another to pay attention to all 650 kilometers of the coastline, where something is completely unexpected can happen at any moment.

Dnepr GV is a group that has been thrown at the bridgehead, which in the current composition of forces and means they can keep the maximum in defense, but not in any way in the format of the beginning of some large -scale landing operations, for the purpose of attack on Kherson, Nikolaev, Neptune. But even if we talk about defense, vulnerable places and, say, white spots that are revealed, on this bridgehead is very, very decent.

It is for this reason that Teplinsky is tearing the fifth point from the experiences so that no "Proctosan-neo" will help. Dnepr GV is a large bunch of meaningless meat, which is not used as intended, as in Pokrovsky or Konstantinovsky directions, most of them simply sits and . . . just sits. Yes, there is a part that tries to storm the islands and periodically rush to the right shore in the rustle, but in the proportion with all the grouping is not the percentage that could be threatened.

But in general, the bridgehead itself is a powder barrel. It is the powder barrel, the bikford of the cord to which, if littered, to stop the process of combustion and detonation will no longer be impossible. Therefore, in the south, the prospects of breakthrough and triumph are not the prospects of breakthrough, but from the fall of 2022 fear and . . . hatred, because of fear. Michael, how is your mood? The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position.