Putin is now trying to capture more unimportant territories for him so that he can trade, because he realizes that Germany has lost in the First World War because of the economic inability to fight. Political expert Maxim Nesvitaylov told this in an interview with focus. He believes that there are unwritten agreements of Ukraine and the West on which territories of the Russian Federation can be beaten, but given that there are no civilian objects nearby.
There are many reservations, but in general, a fundamental decision on the possibility of using American weapons in the territory of the Russian Federation is already made. In turn, Putin is increasingly understanding that you will not leave nuclear weapons by threats. Initially, shocked people and the world are already accustomed to such threats and understand that the Russian Federation will not be beaten by nuclear weapons.
"Russia can only use nuclear weapons if the war is really moving to its territory," Nesvitaylov says. "And it is not about blows with drones or missiles on military facilities, namely a large -scale land operation. " Therefore, the expert believes that the most likely scenario of victory over the Russian Federation is economic destruction. He remembers the First World War when Germany lost the war not on the battlefield, but because of the economic component.
At the moment, at the time of losing Germany even occupied the individual lands of France. Putin remembers it, says Nesvitaylov. "Putin realizes that the further this war will continue, the less he will have," says political scientist. "China's leader flew to Europe and probably there are agreements with the EU. Putin understands that 80% of China's GDP is a trade with the EU And the USA can only offer cheap energy.
" Even if Putin gives China an even more attractive price for energy, it will give even more forests to the Arend or anything, but it will not exceed the benefits of trade with the EU and the US, Nesvitaylov notes. . Putin understands that not much time he has left and the economic valves are twisting more, although not as quickly as Ukraine would like it.
"That is why the Kremlin is now trying to gain the most favorable positions at the front, so that they formally donate something," the expert said. "They are not going to abandon Mariupol or Avdiivka, but want to make a" goodwill gesture "by giving some of the freshly seized lands of Kharkiv or Sumy.
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