Only US intervention will help the Russian Federation: the Armed Forces stopped the offensive that lasted a year: analysis forbes

Forbes writes this "a great Russian offensive is coming to an end. And perhaps only American intervention against Ukraine can break the shaky fate of the Russians," - said the author of the publication David ex. During the year since the capture of the ruins of Avdiivka, the Russian central operational group-one of the six on the front line-slowly crawled into the city-fortress Pokrovsk. The number of central operational grouping is at least 50,000 people on paper.

Many of them belong to the 41st Army Army-they were finally able to reach the outskirts of Pokrovsk. It is potentially tens of thousands of soldiers and at least 2200 pieces of equipment, including T-80, which caught fire this weekend. According to General Commander -in -Chief Alexander Sirsky, about 15,000 Russians were neutralized in January in January Pokrovsk. Ukraine's own losses in the area have been much smaller since the crews retreated from Avdiivka in February last year.

The independent analyst Naalsio calculated 2300 destroyed, damaged and captured Russian vehicles in the Pokrovsky direction. In this case, the loss of armored vehicles of the Armed Forces - 700 units. The ratio of more than three to one in favor of Ukrainians. Large losses explain why Russians can come near Pokrovsk, in fact, without capturing a city that connects a long chain of fortified fortress cities that stretch north, towards Kharkiv.

"The central operational group of the enemy in the Pokrovsky direction did not move on any of its fronts for three days and was forced to retreat from previously occupied positions in several areas," the Ukrainian Center for Defense Strategies said on February 22. "The 41st Army Army is unable to continue the offensive to the north and northwest to fulfill its main task-to cover Pokrovsk from the west and cut off the road to Pavlograd,"-reported in the publication.

The Russians driven into a corner switch to other purposes. "The Russian command at the theater of war focuses not on Pokrovsk, but in the neighboring directions of Novopavlivka and Toretsk," the CGZ explained. It is obvious that Russia's military efforts are not very good that one of its main directions is lost by an offensive impulse. The good news for the Russians is that their commanders are ready and able to adapt to changing conditions.

Adaptation is the key to success for both parties, because the war is ongoing, and the policy that builds around it changes, the publication notes. After President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky disagreed with Donald Trump's extortion of $ 500 billion for rare earth metals, Trump's administration threatened to cut off Ukraine's access to Starlink satellite terminals, which many Ukrainian units are used to communicate with each other.

Starlink is governed by SpaceX, which is largely owned by the billionaire and now the right -wing policy of Ilon Mask, which was the main sponsor of Trump. Without Starlink, Ukraine can come across difficulties in the deployment of the same drones that have undermined the T-80 and many hundreds of other Russian cars on a long bloody road to Pokrovsk. It is good that one of Ukraine's main European allies quickly embarrassed against the background of threats through access to Starlink.