War for resources: why Russia needs water from Donbass and how it changes the battle map

According to Reuters, under the leadership of South Korea (NIS), it is likely that the DPRK will send additional military forces to Russia in July or August 2025. This should happen in the framework of preparation of a large -scale offensive operation of the Russian Federation against Ukraine. A member of the South Korea Parliament, Lee Song -Kvun, stated that intelligence results indicate that Russia can start a large -scale offensive in the second half of the summer.

The formal mobilization deployment in North Korea has already begun. Within the framework of cooperation between South Korea and Russia there is an exchange: Pyongyang provides artillery ammunition and rockets, and instead receives technological support in the field of launching satellites and missile systems. In June 2024, the leaders of North Korea and Russia concluded an agreement on a comprehensive strategic partnership, which serves as a basis for such military and technical exchange.

The experts interviewed by focus are skeptical of the emergence of Korean soldiers on Ukrainian soil. "I do not think that the North Korean troops will go to Ukraine. It will not be 100 or 150,000 people who could provide Putin with a decisive breakthrough. If they will send - a maximum of 30-50 thousand, and not immediately, but in stages. And Kim mon not so unreasonable.

The North Koreans were held exclusively on the territory of Russia - most likely, within the interstate agreement, which is officially called "Strategic Partnership Agreement", - says Focus Military Expert Oleg Zhdanov. Zhdanova, they will not change the situation on the battlefield. "August. Accordingly, the deployment and participation in hostilities will take additional time.

At the same time, we note that the impact of Pyongyang support cannot be accurately evaluated without information about the size and composition of the contingent that the DPRK will send to Russia. Nevertheless, the potential involvement of additional human resources from the DPRK on the Kremlin side is additional challenges to the SUU and another serious threat, "says focus of earth.

T-0504 routes from the directions where Russians can increase the pressure of the Kupyansky direction and the area of Orikhov in Zaporozhye. In recent weeks, the Russians had territorial achievements in these areas, including occupation troops in the north of Kamiansky and tried to break through to Stepnogorsk, conducting the offensive in the direction of Orikhov.

And in the Kupyansk district, the Russians have expanded the control area in the area of the settlement of Radkivka, which is actually the suburb of Kupyansk, apparently trying to go to the road Chuguyev-Shevchenko-Kupyansk to complicate logistics to the city, "-says Earth. However, the SUU is also preparing and performing tasks to disrupt the enemy's plans.

The main purpose of such attacks is a violation of logistics routes, which provide virtually all Russian military group in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine, " - continues the expert. At the end of Moscow, by the end of 2025, he plans to expand the occupation zone in East of Ukraine, according to Anton Zemlyn. Russia is a little more global for the end of the year. So the Russians will try to occupy the whole of Ukraine east of the Dnieper River.

And also to capture the southern regions - Odessa and Nikolaev to cut Ukraine from the Black Sea. At the same time, the main strategic goal of the Kremlin and Putin is unchanged is the elimination of the Ukrainian state, the destruction of the Ukrainian identity and the full occupation of the Ukrainian territory, " - says expert. Oleg Zhdanov emphasizes that Russia is still faced with an environmental disaster in Donetsk region.

Even Girkin, who started the war in 2014, was well aware of where to start. No wonder the Russians were the first to capture Slavyansk. Why it? Because there is a pumping station of the first lift - it pumps water from the Siverskyi Donets, and this water nourishes literally the whole Donetsk region up to Mariupol. Now the situation is this: when the last reservoir near Donetsk is emptied, the city is actually left without water.

In 2013, the Russians applauded hostilities - now they applauded water dwellings that approach their home at night, " - says the expert. To go to the frontal attack. Until Russia seizes water sources for the Donbass, it will not be able to guarantee control of the region. And then - the time of Yar and Konstantinovka. If they are taken, Slavyansk and Kramatorsk will be in a half -point, " - continues the expert.

We are actually seeing how the war for control of the territory turns into a war for resources. This is what the elderly offensive campaign of Russia - first and foremost, is a matter of water. Western allies. The reason is obvious: our partners gave Ukraine ammunition for aviation - French Hammer and American JDAM. And now our planes are able to destroy the opponent's rear positions up to 50 kilometers from the front line, " - says the expert. In response, Russia resorted to harsh tactics.

Their command acts primitively, but cruelly: either the soldiers are storming - or shot. It looks like saving power, for us this is a problem. After all, to destroy such a group, you need to spend almost the same number of ammunition as the large one. This means: more costs - mortars, artillery, shells, cartridges. That is why we bet on drones. Russian warships do not even hide: their main goal is now not to "knock out" our infantry, but to destroy the equipment.

They are well aware that we have less, and without technology we will not be able to maintain logistics. In response, Ukraine tries to organize effective fire control over the battlefield. But against us the Russian infantry, like a locust, is in large numbers, constantly. We just don't have time to destroy it at the right pace. We are keenly lacking in ammunition, especially cassette, which are effective against mass accumulation of living power. Ammunition wagons are needed.