Putin tries to distract the Armed Forces before the new offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation - isw

Analysts again repeated their forecast that a new land invasion from Belarus to Ukraine is extremely unlikely because the invaders could not form a capable group. At the same time, according to ISW report, Vladimir Putin may create the conditions for further border raids to the northeastern Ukrainian regions.

Experts believe that the Kremlin tries to distract the Ukrainian forces from the problematic directions on the eve of the large -scale offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and to take their attention to other areas of the front. In its report, ISW gives an example of a meeting that took place on February 1 with the participation of Vladimir Putin.

The Kremlin head discussed the issue of restoration of the infrastructure of Crimea, Belgorod, Kursk and Bryansk regions, which were allegedly affected by the shelling of the Defense Forces of Ukraine. "Putin's focus on the predictable danger of Ukrainian border regions is likely to have a double purpose. It continues an information operation, the purpose of which is to present war in Ukraine as a real threat to Russian citizens in order to enlist the internal support of a protracted war.

Conducting border elapsing to distract and scatter the Ukrainian forces from critical directions of promotion, pressing them to the northeastern border areas. The threat In these areas for defense, having dispersed Ukrainian troops before the probable offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the coming months, " - added to ISW, commenting on a new tactic of the Kremlin.

On the day earlier, on February 1, the threat of a new offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation was warned by the Minister of Defense of Ukraine Alexei Reznikov. According to him, Russian troops can carry out assault operations in the south and east of the country, for which up to 500 thousand people were mobilized to the army. On February 1, the new possible offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation was also warned by the NSDC Secretary Alexei Danilov.