Putin is already starting seriously. What to wait for Ukraine

Only then it was about preparing the occasion for invasion of Ukraine, and now, perhaps, it may be a pseudo -uric basis for a formal transition from your ("special military operation") to the official war, respectively, and to the mobilization, which will initially be partial. Video of the Day of Referendums and the inclusion of occupied territories in Russia, it is only a formal occasion, as well as the recognition of the so -called "republics" on February 21.

Putin may have decided to show that he was "starting seriously. " The decision was probably made after Putin's return from the SOS summit (Shanghai cooperation organization).

Was he annoyed as he was taken there and how he was treated (who respects the commander of the army who was defeated), whether the "Party of War" after Putin's return was able to convince him that he had to show will and determination, otherwise the situation in Russia and on the front, after the defeat of the Russian army near Kharkiv, will get out of control.

If the events develop in this way, then we will have an escalation of a military conflict, and we need to prepare quickly - both us and our partners. There is nothing too critical, especially the catastrophic in this scenario for Ukraine. Mobilization in the Russian Federation, according to Russian military experts, can only be partial. For full mobilization, the Russian military machine is simply not ready.

But it will be a new challenge for Ukraine and our partners, which will require additional stress of strength and resources. The war can become more intense. Putin's speech may be confined to Russia's demonstrative military action to show that Putin is "already starting.