The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will try to make a breakthrough in the Sumy region: whether they have a chance - The Telegraph

The material of The Telegraph evaluated the likelihood of a breakthrough in the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces by the Russian forces, which intensified against the background of the negotiation process to ceasefire. As the Commander -in -Chief of the Armed Forces Alexander Sirsky has recently reported, the offensive of Russian troops has already begun: the number of attacks has doubled in recent weeks.

Kyiv sees the greatest threat towards Sumy and Kharkiv regions - if successful, it would give Putin the opportunity to dictate the conditions in the negotiations about the possible end of hostilities in Ukraine. However, experts doubt that Russia's offensive can lead to significant territorial conquests. Thus, the Executive Director of the Ukrainian Center for Security and Cooperation Dmitry Zhmaylo noted that any large-scale offensive of hostile forces on the front line is impossible.

"There are no major military victories in Russia, so they want to give the impression that there are huge movements and preferences. We do not see it on earth," he said The Telegraph. According to the Deputy Director of the Democracy Protection Foundation (FDD), John Gardy, despite the increase in the intensity of attacks by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, it is about actions at a "very limited" tactical level. "What we see is just a splash of the pace of the offensive.

They can break through the Ukrainian defense line, but they are not able to achieve a quick, prompt, significant breakthrough," he emphasized. According to analysts, Russia has suffered significant losses in the last year: about 3,000 tanks, 9,000 units of armored vehicles and more than 13,000 artillery systems have been destroyed. This has led to a lack of equipment, which is why Russian attacks are more often conducted by infantry assault groups without armor support.

Recently, Vladimir Putin has signed a decree on a spring conscription of another 160,000 people between the ages of 18 and 30. However, according to Gardy, these mobilized do not go through full training: their training lasts a maximum of a month, and sometimes - only a few days.

"This is the conscious choice that Russia makes to maintain pressure on Ukraine, to throw these troops into the notorious meat grinder without devotion to the time of restoring the quality of forces until the war is ongoing," Gardy said. At the same time, the Armed Forces is made to prevent the concentration of large masses of Russian troops in one direction.