Counter -offensive in 2025: What problems should the Armed Forces solve to prepare - isw

The Western weapons that Ukraine will receive in the near future will be in vain on the battlefield for defense. Meanwhile, Russian troops will act actively and themselves will determine the points and directions in which they will storm. Ukraine, US, other Western countries avoid certain decisions that would make successful fighting during 2024-2025. ). Analysts of the Institute of War (ISW) in the report published on May 5 were told about the possible course of the Russo-Ukrainian War.

ISW analysts recalled the US position on hostilities in Ukraine, voiced by the White House in two statements made in January and May 2024. Both statements say that the Armed Forces should focus on "active defense". It is expected that "defense" will last for at least a year, and during this time Russia will capture "small territories", and Ukraine will increase Western assistance.

The approximate time of the offensive is 2025, said US Presidential Advisor Jake Sullivan, was recalled on the ISW portal. At the same time, analysts assessed the situation with a Russian military. The Russian "comforted" by such statements by the United States: stated that while the Armed Forces' Counter -offensive in 2025 was expected, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will be unlimited firing border and frontier territories and a line of contact.

The analytical report lists what to do to Ukraine to be ready for a counter -offensive 2025: the Institute of War Study emphasized that the continued defense, which is advised by Ukraine by Western experts, enables the Kremlin to act at its own discretion and to hold initiative on the battlefield. As a result, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation "will form the desired conditions, determining the time, place and intensity of Russian attacks.

" Meanwhile, the Armed Forces will spend precious resources received from the West. "The chronology of Ukraine's counter -offensive operations ignores the real situation on the battlefield," analysts summed up. It should be noted that the possibility of Ukrainian counter -offensive in 2025 was spoken by the head of the GUR Ministry of Defense Kirill Budanov. At the same time, he explained what this opportunity depends on - whether partners can provide the necessary flow of weapons.

After that, in April 2024, intelligence warned of a difficult situation that will take place at the front in spring and summer. According to the deputy chairman of GUR Vadim Skibitsky, there is a real threat to lose the time of Yar in Donetsk. Meanwhile, according to the Ukrainian General Staff, as of the evening of May 5, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation inflicted 100 aircraft blows across Ukraine, 57 from artillery of different kinds, there were also two launchers.