Peace talks with Russia. How and why Turkey and the West are leaning to them

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There they would like to get a pause that would be used for hidden mobilization (including at the expense of voluntary-forced transfer of conscripts to a contract), the reconciliation of Soviet military equipment, the purchase of drones and what can be purchased. And under the noise they will try to bargain the softening of any sanctions, in particular in the energy sphere. To continue aggression against Ukraine with new forces. There are also reasons in our military-political leadership.

First of all, we need mass supply of equipment and ammunition. The required amount can be provided by the Land League, as the free arms reserves that can be transferred to Ukraine are gradually exhausted. And it takes time to manufacture weapons, which is always in the shortage. Negotiations contribute to this opportunity. In addition, peace talks give a ghostly, but hope that we can avoid the destruction of our energy infrastructure. And this topic is extremely concerned about our power.

By the way, the difficulties with electricity will not interfere with the transportation of weapons, as it will be carried out on the locomotive. But with passenger transportation can be problems. If there are reuns on both sides, peace talks can take place. And I would not have to hope for the sharp statements of our executives that there are no negotiations before the full de-occupation of Ukraine: one thing is political slogans for motivation, the other-military and technological realities.

Moreover, in conditions of full dependence on Western supplies. Within the potential truce, Russia is ready to leave the occupied territories of southern Ukraine on little conditions. And even to get from the Donbass - on completely unacceptable conditions. And to bring Crimea to brackets and not discuss at all.

At the same time, it should be clearly understood that in due time, under -imperia will necessarily violate all arrangements and continue aggression, accusing Ukraine, NATO and underground reptileoids. The kind of pleasant sauce for such negotiations will be rumors that Putin is gradually moving away from power, passing it on some "pragmatists" in the Kremlin who want to restore relations with the civilized world. Patrushev group, in particular.

Even if the negotiations begin, they will inevitably go to a dead end. The maximum of what can be achieved is the solution of individual humanitarian issues: exchange of prisoners, corridors for refugees, conditional demilitarization around the Zaporizhzhya NPP. And then it is unlikely. The only reliable path to peace is to draw the enemy of such defeats that will cause a large -scale political crisis and a real change in power in the short -scale.